NL50: 3 barrels against 2+2er

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on the flop, i think that most of his strong hands he's raising. but there is a small number of strong hands in his range here- as stated previously, AA/QQ both rr pf. AQ+ probably rr-es pf (though both could definitely be present and probably are in this hand). that leaves AJ and perhaps other lower aces (sometimes a suited ace or two). so i think that on the flop, villan has either a draw (sc/clubs/sometimes T9 or something dumb like that that is floating), a marginal hand like Ax and sometimes a pair+FD like KQ/JT.

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I totally disagree with this, I analyse this hand exactly backwards to how you have done, I think he floats all his strong/mid strength hands like AK, two pair, mid pairs etc and raises all the weaker hands like pair+fd, T9, JT etc as well as monsters like made straights and sets. I think raising AK on this board would be pretty bad

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it doesnt make any sense to float with strong hands on such a board. why would you flat with QA/JJ/KT/etc? doesnt make any sense.