$ 16 bubble play

vers · #1 11-25-2007, 01:46 PM

Danny, I think since we have no FE, whatever percentage villain opens, he calls the shove with.

DannyOcean_ · #2 11-25-2007, 01:49 PM

I think he folds out a certain percentage vers. If OP trusts his read that villian is an aggro stealer, then I typically think he's folding at least the bottom 7-8% of his range. Also, if villian is on ATC he is certainly not calling with J3o or 24s. All we need is a little bit of FE for this to be +EV, and i think we have it.

Fishing2do · #3 11-25-2007, 02:35 PM

Danny you might be right that this is a +EV push, purely from a ICM standpoint. I like to look a little bit further then only this hand situation though. And when I look further into the tourney, I see plenty of opportunity's that might arise that will be not only more EV but also bring with them a lot less Variance.

oh if UTG stack would be spread out amongst 2 extra players at the table... I would be pushing this for sure. But im not going to risk my tourney here, and not even gain that much extra chance of winning it.