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#3
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Mathmatically, it is basically costing you 5845 to win ~10,000 (need antes for exact amount). So you need to have about 37% equity to break even.
You have 34.24% equity against what you think his range is: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 34.242% 34.24% 00.00% 4068 0.00 { JhTd } Hand 1: 65.758% 65.76% 00.00% 7812 0.00 { KK+ } So mathematically, the call costs you ~419 chips. I think making a call here is defensible. It is very slightly -EV (it is slightly more -EV if he has QQ too, but obv. better if he does this with AK). And winning this pot will be a big advantage for a good player. That is, your chip stack gains major amounts in functional utility. You ought to be able to abuse the bubble as a big chip stack. Something that is often hard to do as a medium chip stack. So I say calling is fine. Sherman |
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