|
|
|
|
#1
11-21-2007, 09:34 PM
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Ron Paul is going to take Nevada and New Hampshire
[ QUOTE ]
I'm a bit confused on your terms. Am I reading it right that you're offering 1:1 on $100, and you win if RP polls less than 14% in NH? I'll take that bet any day! [/ QUOTE ] I was offering 12%, but consider this booked. 
|
|
#2
11-21-2007, 09:36 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Ron Paul is going to take Nevada and New Hampshire
for sure.
adanthar, how many digits? lol I only do friendly betting, but the total max I'd bet would be $500. If Iron already claimed $100, you wanna take the other $400? Consider it booked if so.
|
|
#4
11-21-2007, 09:47 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Ron Paul is going to take Nevada and New Hampshire
Wasn't someone offering me 1:1 on ron paul getting 8% of the vote in New Hampshire a few months ago? I'd love to take that bet, whoever you were.
|
|
#5
11-21-2007, 10:25 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Ron Paul is going to take Nevada and New Hampshire
[ QUOTE ]
Wasn't someone offering me 1:1 on ron paul getting 8% of the vote in New Hampshire a few months ago? I'd love to take that bet, whoever you were. [/ QUOTE ] It was MPK, and the numbers 7% NH/5% Iowa. I was going to back MPK because I thought it was a pretty good bet at the time. I wouldn't put any money on that at this point. I still don't think he'll beat these by much, but clearly since July (when the original bet was offered) Paul has drastically exceeded expectations and gained momentum. RCP poll averages have Paul at 6.8% in New Hampshire, 4.5% in Iowa. I suspect he'll end up punting in one of those states (Iowa) and pouring resources in the other (NH). So if I had to bet now, I suspect he'd be close to 5% in Iowa and would beat 7% in NH. But yes, had you taken the bet in July, it would have looked pretty good right about now.
|
|
#6
11-22-2007, 12:44 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Ron Paul is going to take Nevada and New Hampshire
[ QUOTE ]
Wasn't someone offering me 1:1 on ron paul getting 8% of the vote in New Hampshire a few months ago? I'd love to take that bet, whoever you were. [/ QUOTE ] I think I am who you are thinking of...I believe I actually offered 1:1 on the under of 7% in NH. But I have to admit Paul has done better than I expected in the intervening months and I would not take that bet any more. I think the 5% in Iowa that I offered before is more or less a push now.
|
|
#7
11-22-2007, 01:33 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Ron Paul is going to take Nevada and New Hampshire
|
|
#8
11-22-2007, 01:37 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Ron Paul is going to take Nevada and New Hampshire
[ QUOTE ]
HuckabeeforPOTUS! [/ QUOTE ] After 14.5 hours and only $95,000.... [ QUOTE ] I think the millions will start rolling in after people get out of work. [/ QUOTE ] lol
|
|
#9
11-21-2007, 09:48 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Ron Paul is going to take Nevada and New Hampshire
lol sucks that my reading comprehension is what made me set the 14% limit. oh well, gambling's fun. and I hope you both lose very badly, but not because of the money! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
|
|
#10
11-21-2007, 10:06 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Re: Ron Paul is going to take Nevada and New Hampshire
Are most of the Ron Paul supporters on here college students who are surrounded by a fair # of other Paul supporters? In middle America, very few people care about Ron Paul and very few more are going to start caring.
Paul is polling well enough in New Hampshire that he might crack double-digits. The same should be true in Nevada.
|
 |
|
|
Hybrid Mode
