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Old 11-21-2007, 01:05 AM
J.R. J.R. is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 5,406
Default Re: jimmy rollins is a yambag

Food for thought:

Matt Holliday's MVP candidacy (to the extent we are defining it as the guy who contributed most to his team's winning, which seems fair since winning is the goal) should be affected by Coors field, because his production is less valuable at home than he is on the road, not because his numbers are "inflated."

Yes, Matt's numbers are much better at Coors (BTW, although he does have a unusually large historical split, as poker players hopefully we realize the uncertainty associated with just one season's worth of home/away splits), but a lot more runs are scored in general at Coors.

A run scored in a low scoring environment is worth more (in terms if advancing a team's chances of winning) than a run in a higher run scoring environment.

While Coors makes Matt better, it makes everybody else better too.

Even if Matt's improvement is better than the average hitter at Coors, which appears to be the case, it also appears this advantage is overwhelmed by the greater prevalence of runs in general, which makes each individual's contributions on the whole less valuable.
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