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  #1  
Old 11-17-2007, 11:02 PM
chavarie chavarie is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: FTP 22s
Posts: 49
Default 22$ Bubble play - What\'s the move here?

What's the move here? SNGWIZ tells me it's a fold but some people are thinking it's completely stupid to fold here. Sorry for not converting but I was having problems with all of them.

Full Tilt Poker Game #4202062893: $22 + $2 Sit & Go (Turbo) (31890367), Table 1 - 400/800 - No Limit Hold'em - 1:54:25 ET - 2007/11/17
Seat 1: luckeydonkey (10,610)
Seat 2: wildweazle (830)
Seat 5: chopper2576 (1,250)
Seat 8: ChaVtheGrinDeR (810)
chopper2576 posts the small blind of 400
ChaVtheGrinDeR posts the big blind of 800
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ChaVtheGrinDeR [Td 6d]
luckeydonkey raises to 1,600
wildweazle folds
chopper2576 calls 850, and is all in
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  #2  
Old 11-17-2007, 11:26 PM
KCW12 KCW12 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 144
Default Re: 22$ Bubble play - What\'s the move here?

This is a strange spot. I think this is a fold here. There is a chance that SB will get knocked out this hand. Even if he doesn't, if you win the next hand, the other short stacks will have to take the blinds before you do. I don't like your chances running T6 against two villains. Remember, you need to beat both of their hands to stay alive. And really, is tripling up here going to give you much of a chance to win anyway?
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  #3  
Old 11-18-2007, 04:42 AM
Scotty_12 Scotty_12 is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Stoxpoker Coach
Posts: 1,282
Default Re: 22$ Bubble play - What\'s the move here?

I would estimate you to be 40 or 30% to limp into 3rd wnen you muck, and if you call your chances of busting are probably >60% , even with the slight chance of a comeback for 2nd or 1st if you get it in 3 way, I think you are playing for 3rd here. You have a reasonable chance of getting it HU the next hand with a 60 or 40 shot, win that and wildweazel has to survive his following two hands
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