Rugby: Heineken Cup and European Challenge Cup

[hedgie43]

Friday:

Gloucester -8 (-115) vs. Ospreys
Risk 1.15u to win 1u

Let me get this right. Gloucester shows the same class against Ulster that they've shown in the Guinness Premiership and the Ospreys stink it up at home against Bourgoin, a team that always gets destroyed in away matches. Now you go to the Shed, where Gloucester has a great HFA and they are only 8 point favorites? Meanwhile, the Ospreys are without their best attacking weapon in Shane Williams and Gloucester is almost unchanged except for the world class Marco Bortolami coming into the starting XV at lock. The only thing preventing this from being a multi-unit bet is Gloucester's propensity to take their foot off the gas.

[hedgie43]

24-16 Gloucester and the Ospreys fail to give away a penalty at the end so it's a push.

4-3-1, +1.9u

[hedgie43]

Tomorrow:

Treviso +14.5 (-115) vs. Perpignan
Risk 1.15u to win 1u

Treviso back at home against a struggling Perpignan side, particularly one who struggles on the road. As well, Perpignan will be without their best attacking weapon in David Marty.

[hedgie43]

Treviso covers, losing 29-17.

5-3-1, 2.9u

Tomorrow:

Clermont +11.5 at Munster
1.1u to win 1u

Munster has the largest HFA in the HEC but there is no way they are 11.5 points better than Clermont. FWIW, there is a huge middle opportunity with Munster -7.5 on Bodog.