Big vs Small Mistakes

[Paul Thomson]

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Aggressive Games
Effective stacks $200.

Villain raises on the Button to $7. Hero reraises from the BB with TT to $28. Villain calls.

FLOP ($57) J 6 2
Hero bets $40. Villain raises all-in to $172. Hero?

Hero has to call $132 and there's $269 in the pot. Therefore, Hero's getting better than 2-1 on his call and has to be good 33% of the time.

If Villain will push with JJ+, AK+ then hero has 36% equity and should call. The reason that we should call is that there are a reasonable number of ways to make AK (16) vs hands that dominate us (21) that calling is +EV. If Villain will also do this with AQ, then calling is imperative.

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that is very game and history dependend.
first villain must know, that we're 3betting light (he cant really expect us to fold TT+ here),
second villain must know, that we're cbetting dry flops vs him with air or small PPs in RR pots.

if these 2 are true, than a call is correct, cause only then it makes sense for him to push non-premium hands here.

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your right about the game conditions.