My (admittedly stupid) Jason Campbell bet

BillNye · #1 11-14-2007, 07:26 PM

This bet is sweet.

Basically you get a free jersey, if you lose you get to wear a Vick or Pacman jersey, both are also sweet and get lots of cool reactions.

I say you win way over 50% of the time plus if you win you get alot more than what you risk if you lose. Free Jersey > wearing a dumb jersey.

Tyler Durden · #2 11-14-2007, 07:31 PM

[ QUOTE ]
This bet is sweet.

Basically you get a free jersey, if you lose you get to wear a Vick or Pacman jersey, both are also sweet and get lots of cool reactions.

I say you win way over 50% of the time plus if you win you get alot more than what you risk if you lose. Free Jersey > wearing a dumb jersey.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks, it seems like a fun bet to me as well. But my buddy is not allowed to choose a Pacman Jones/O.J. Simpson/Mike Vick jersey.

kyleb · #3 11-14-2007, 07:32 PM

KUBIAK really likes Campbell. I think you're in good shape, actually.

Tyler Durden · #4 11-14-2007, 07:37 PM

[ QUOTE ]
KUBIAK really likes Campbell. I think you're in good shape, actually.

[/ QUOTE ]

What is KUBIAK? Gary?

I really like Campbell too. I think that the coaching staff has been holding him back and I think he'd be performing better if he was given more control over the offense.

kyleb · #5 11-14-2007, 07:40 PM

Heh, no, not actually Gary Kubiak. KUBIAK is the projection system that Football Outsiders uses; they're a relatively new football performance analysis website.

SL__72 · #6 11-14-2007, 07:45 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Heh, no, not actually Gary Kubiak. KUBIAK is the projection system that Football Outsiders uses; they're a relatively new football performance analysis website.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well it is, obviously, named after Gary Kubiak. I don't think it doubles as an acronym like PECOTA.

kyleb · #7 11-14-2007, 08:13 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Heh, no, not actually Gary Kubiak. KUBIAK is the projection system that Football Outsiders uses; they're a relatively new football performance analysis website.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well it is, obviously, named after Gary Kubiak. I don't think it doubles as an acronym like PECOTA.

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Obviously, but I'm not too sure that the actual Gary Kubiak has gone on record as saying he likes Jason Campbell.

Kos13 · #8 11-14-2007, 07:41 PM

Campbell is solid...good bet.

Assani Fisher · #9 11-14-2007, 07:44 PM

I think you're spot on about Campbell, and I think your bet is a good one for you. I also think you're underraing Eli though.

99,574 and counting

VarlosZ · #10 11-14-2007, 07:45 PM

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What is KUBIAK? Gary?

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A statistical projection model of the type that you hate, if memory serves. Anyway, Campbell's college pedigree and the development history of previous, similar NFL QBs suggests that Campbell will be a good QB.

That said, I don't know if you're +EV on your bet. Even assuming Campbell will probably be better than Manning, a lot can happen in two and a half years, and Campbell doesn't have the bonus-baby mega-contract that forces the team to stick with him like Manning does.