![]() |
|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
OK, I'm dumb. This is where sportsbetting will be a challenge for me. I think I can spot edges in lines based on the actual teams, but I'm not sure how well I'll do with the actual math even though I consider myself a math nerd.
My book is offering Ten -2 (-110), and Ten PK (+110). I'm pretty sure Ten PK (+110) is the far better line, correct? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
The way you have written the odds means that
Tenn -2 is you bet 110 to win 100. Tenn ML is you bet 100 to win 110. Does that sound right to you? |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
tenn +2 ldo
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
If I think Tenn wins 50% of the time, then I need Denver to win by 1 or 2 (I'm assuming the odds of winning by 1 are similar enough to winning by 2 for this), 3.28% of the time each for it to be breakeven. Anymore, and Ten +2 is a better line.
|
#5
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
wong it ldo
|
#6
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
wong it ldo [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, I really want to with Baltimore +2.5, but I'm not sure this site offers teasers, or if it does, I'm too stupid to figure it out. And yes, I am dumb for betting on only one site. I never had "that thing that shall not be named" playing poker either. |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
If I think Tenn wins 50% of the time, then I need Denver to win by 1 or 2 (I'm assuming the odds of winning by 1 are similar enough to winning by 2 for this), 3.28% of the time each for it to be breakeven. Anymore, and Ten +2 is a better line. [/ QUOTE ] This math is done in Sharp Sports Betting. Take a look at the section "NFL Money Line vs. Spread". +2 (-110) equates to a moneyline between +113 and +117. So you are right. +2 (-110) is the better line. |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Stupidly put down a unit on Tenn +2.
I'm working on getting money to another book so I don't make stupid bets like this. I'm pretty sure this book doesn't offer teasers, otherwise I'd wong it. *sigh* |
#9
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
for some reason this pick is whispering BSP to me.
The public (myself included) sees this game as: Tennesse has played much better, and has a much bettor record Tennessee is a running football team Denver is the worst in the league vs the run Vince Young just wins football games etc I really see Tennesee as an obvious/easy pick here, and infact put money on them, but I may be missing something. Something is keeping this line the way it is. |
![]() |
|
|