#1
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[x] Hate this spot. NL25.
So, for shizzle dogs.
Villain is running at 20/4/1.5 over 30 hands. Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter MP2: $4.60 CO: $24.65 BTN: $25.25 SB: $24.75 BB: $4.30 UTG: $6.70 UTG+1: $51.20 Hero (UTG+2): $28.05 MP1: $42.70 Pre-Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG+2) UTG calls $0.25, UTG+1 calls $0.25, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.25</font>, 2 folds, CO calls $1.25, BTN calls $1.25, 2 folds, UTG calls $1, UTG+1 folds Flop: ($5.60) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 Players) UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $5</font>, CO calls $5, 2 folds Turn: ($15.60) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $7.25</font>, Hero ? |
#2
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Re: [x] Hate this spot. NL25.
I'm assuming you checked turn to fold if bet to. While I hate the idea of c/f'ing here, hands that beats us 55/77/88/99/TT/TJ and 2 diamonds make up a good part of his range. What's worse is that we're drawing to 2 outs if villain has 77/88/99. I'd fold and go kick something.
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#3
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Re: [x] Hate this spot. NL25.
You have ten outs here to boat up. Villain in his infinite wisdom gives you over 3 to 1 pot odds plus 11.15 left in his stack. You need about 4 to 1 to break even (including rake). So if you hit your boat on the river do you think you can extract another 7.50-8 out of villain? If he's got a flush or a straight you'll likely get the rest of his stack.
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#4
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Re: [x] Hate this spot. NL25.
Ehhh...Capt's right. You've got 20% equity vs his range, are getting 3-1 on the turn, and are very likely going to get stacks in if you fill up and can easily get out if you don't.
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#5
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Re: [x] Hate this spot. NL25.
I donīt think that it makes a difference in the longterm if you call or fold here. I call, but i am a calling station.
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#6
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Re: [x] Hate this spot. NL25.
[ QUOTE ]
You have ten outs here to boat up. Villain in his infinite wisdom gives you over 3 to 1 pot odds plus 11.15 left in his stack. You need about 4 to 1 to break even (including rake). So if you hit your boat on the river do you think you can extract another 7.50-8 out of villain? If he's got a flush or a straight you'll likely get the rest of his stack. [/ QUOTE ] Exfrigginactly. Turn: ($15.60) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $7.25</font>, Hero calls $7.25 River: ($30.10) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $11.15 and is All-In</font>, Hero ? So, now the board reads a Ten high str8 and my read of villain at the time was some kind of overpair. What to do? Easy call given that i'm receiving 4 to 1? |
#7
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Re: [x] Hate this spot. NL25.
[ QUOTE ]
So, now the board reads a Ten high str8 and my read of villain at the time was some kind of overpair. What to do? Easy fold given that i'm receiving 1.4 to 1? [/ QUOTE ] FYP |
#8
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Re: [x] Hate this spot. NL25.
Why do you assume villain cold-called preflop with an overpair? It's very rare (unless you have a read) that villain's doing that with QQ/KK/AA). If they are on an overpair, it's most likely to be JJ thinking you'll call to split the pot. I just can't see that hand betting out on the turn. We didn't fill up on the river and I can't see us calling here and winning...even 20% of the time.
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#9
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Re: [x] Hate this spot. NL25.
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] So, now the board reads a Ten high str8 and my read of villain at the time was some kind of overpair. What to do? Easy fold given that i'm receiving 1.4 to 1? [/ QUOTE ] FYP [/ QUOTE ] More like 1.85 to 1. |
#10
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Re: [x] Hate this spot. NL25.
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] So, now the board reads a Ten high str8 and my read of villain at the time was some kind of overpair. What to do? Easy fold given that i'm receiving 1.4 to 1? [/ QUOTE ] FYP [/ QUOTE ] More like 1.85 to 1. [/ QUOTE ] er... no. You win his bet exactly never. so 30/2:11 or 15:11 ~ 1.4:1. In fact, it's worse than 1.4:1. |
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