#1
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awkward spot with KK preflop
second round of a $50 multi on AP. 271 entrants.
mattkupe is an sng and HU sng specialist who has won the ap tlb multiple times. he doesnt play many multis , but he understands tournament poker at a high level. fearless/creative type. foolishgolf is an outstanding multi player. online pro or semi-pro. intelligent TAG...conservative early. Seat 9 - unknown ($1970 in chips) Seat 1 - MATTKUPE ($1730 in chips) Seat 2 - FOOLISHGOLF ($2730 in chips) Seat 4 - hero ($1330 in chips) blinds are 15/30. 2 folds unknown mp1 calls mattkupe raises to 75 from mp2. 1 fold foolishgolf reraises to 240 from CO hero has KK on the button what are my options, and what are the approximate values (or pros and cons if you prefer) of each? |
#2
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Re: awkward spot with KK preflop
Call or Raise/Shove are your options. I am going to raise in this case, the stack sizes are awkward is the only problem. You can raise to 5-600 and shove any flop with little or no FE or shove and hope for a call. I am probably going to just shove this.
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#3
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Re: awkward spot with KK preflop
this really isnt the time to get cute. a shove is good here.
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#4
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Re: awkward spot with KK preflop
the problem i have with a push is that, when i am not called, i win 390. when i am called, i am usually losing.
i am willing to bet that foolishgolf will fold QQ and perhaps AK to my push given the circumstances. he will certainly fold JJ. the single most likely hand for him is AA. while he is less than 50% to have AA, im going to have trouble getting paid much from his non-aa hands |
#5
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Re: awkward spot with KK preflop
your calling range for foolishgolf is way too small
he likes his hand and you dont have him covered. btw 390 at 15/30 is great. |
#6
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Re: awkward spot with KK preflop
I'd never flat call here giving odds galore to an "intelligent TAG". As mentioned, make it 600 and shove postflop. Also agree foolishgolf's calling range seems too tight to a shove. If he has QQ, I don't see how he puts you on AA/KK so easy.
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#7
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Re: awkward spot with KK preflop
[ QUOTE ]
the problem i have with a push is that, when i am not called, i win 390. when i am called, i am usually losing. i am willing to bet that foolishgolf will fold QQ and perhaps AK to my push given the circumstances. he will certainly fold JJ. the single most likely hand for him is AA. while he is less than 50% to have AA, im going to have trouble getting paid much from his non-aa hands [/ QUOTE ] This is just wrong, shove, flat calling or making some tiny raise are both worse and even more obvious than shoving. I 3 bet from a guy 90 BBs deep does not mean AA, I'm sorry, it doesn't. I'm sure he's calling with QQ here, and he may speculate with JJ thinking your most likely hand is AK (since you'd do something cute if you had AA/KK.) So, just shove, let him put you on AK and call. And stop thinking someone has AA every time they 3bet, that's fish talk. |
#8
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Re: awkward spot with KK preflop
[ QUOTE ]
I don't see how he puts you on AA/KK so easy. [/ QUOTE ] 1. he knows me and knows that i am very tight early 2. he knows that i know that he is very tight early 3. he reraised a good player from middle position. he knows that i assume that he is extremely strong. 4. the pot size is a pittance. it is less than what the small blind will be on the bubble. because of these, he knows that if i raise, i am never bluffing, and that i always think that i am stronger than his range (which i know to be very strong itself). |
#9
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Re: awkward spot with KK preflop
[ QUOTE ]
And stop thinking someone has AA every time they 3bet, that's fish talk. [/ QUOTE ] i don't think he has AA every time. i think it's his most likely hand and that's obvious. he probably has it about, oh, i dont know, 38% of the time. |
#10
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Re: awkward spot with KK preflop
38%? lol nice read.
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