#1
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*** OFFICIAL 11/19/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (TEN @ DEN)***
TEN @ DEN
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#2
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/19/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (TEN @ DEN)***
Denver -3? Overreaction to this week? What a crazy line.
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#3
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/19/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (TEN @ DEN)***
Is Lendale White hurt? I saw him limping around against the Jags. If he's OK, then this line is the craziest so far.
I don't have Pinny, so I'll be looking at my outs (in order of preference) for: 1) +3.5 -140 2) +3 -120 3) +9 -244 (basically teasing -3 high juice at 3tm +180) Playing +2.5 is obviously a donk move. |
#4
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/19/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (TEN @ DEN)***
[ QUOTE ]
Is Lendale White hurt? I saw him limping around against the Jags. If he's OK, then this line is the craziest so far. I don't have Pinny, so I'll be looking at my outs (in order of preference) for: 1) +3.5 -140 2) +3 -120 3) +9 -244 (basically teasing -3 high juice at 3tm +180) Playing +2.5 is obviously a donk move. [/ QUOTE ] If you are trying to get the least amount of yards per carry then yes, losing White hurts Tennessee. |
#5
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/19/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (TEN @ DEN)***
Lines already down to 2.5
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#6
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/19/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (TEN @ DEN)***
Then teasing is the right play
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#7
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/19/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (TEN @ DEN)***
OK, I'm dumb. This is where sportsbetting will be a challenge for me. I think I can spot edges in lines based on the actual teams, but I'm not sure how well I'll do with the actual math even though I consider myself a math nerd.
My book is offering Ten -2 (-110), and Ten PK (+110). I'm pretty sure Ten PK (+110) is the far better line, correct? |
#8
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/19/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (TEN @ DEN)***
The way you have written the odds means that
Tenn -2 is you bet 110 to win 100. Tenn ML is you bet 100 to win 110. Does that sound right to you? |
#9
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/19/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (TEN @ DEN)***
tenn +2 ldo
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#10
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/19/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (TEN @ DEN)***
If I think Tenn wins 50% of the time, then I need Denver to win by 1 or 2 (I'm assuming the odds of winning by 1 are similar enough to winning by 2 for this), 3.28% of the time each for it to be breakeven. Anymore, and Ten +2 is a better line.
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