overpair multi-way flop decision

[a breath of air]

villain #1 (jackyl36) is 87/4/2.06(99), villain #2 (pinkpanther05) is 24/18/4(88).

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

eff_congress (UTG): $310
a breath of air (MP): $369.55
LuckyMorron (CO): $292
Wesen (BTN): $201.25
Jackyl36 (SB): $383.55
PinkPanther05 (BB): $217.15

Pre-Flop: A A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to a breath of air (MP)
eff_congress folds, <font color="red">a breath of air raises to $8</font>, 2 folds, Jackyl36 calls $7, PinkPanther05 calls $6

Flop: ($24) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
Jackyl36 checks, PinkPanther05 checks, <font color="red">a breath of air bets $18</font>, Jackyl36 calls $18, <font color="red">PinkPanther05 raises to $86</font>, a breath of air ???

[Syntec87]

Im pretty sure this is 2pr or a set like 95% of the time.
so do you feel the ace comin?

[tubasteve]

any read besides stats? seems like he almost always has 99/55 and maybe something like J9s or QTs, but i dont think he turns the QT into a semibluff.

if that is all correct then you should fold

[JesseW316]

ship it in, def not afraid of Jacky, Pink might have a set, but if so, so be it.

[Syntec87]

one more thing, if you have been crazy, since he is a reasonable regular it seems by stats, maybe stack off here, he could have KJ/AJ if you're perceived as a bully

[a breath of air]

my image is around 22/19/4.5 and i c-bet and make moves post flop a lot.

[spivey]

I'd fold it without history.

[djj6835]

Blech. Probably a fold. There really aren't many hands with which this is a semibluff and he basically can't be bluffing with the donk in the hand. Only thing that may make this a call is the fact that villain could be trying to isolate the donk with something like kj. I still probably fold.

[a breath of air]

[KLJ]

[ QUOTE ]
Blech. Probably a fold. There really aren't many hands with which this is a semibluff and he basically can't be bluffing with the donk in the hand. Only thing that may make this a call is the fact that villain could be trying to isolate the donk with something like kj. I still probably fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

was waiting to see this.

+1

on an aside, it's generally too ambitious to think he's smart enough to do this while SIMULTANEOUSLY "knowing" that you'd be "smart" enough to lay your hand down