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#1
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Table has been very aggro, but not so much the two villains...
About 40 people left at this point. Full Tilt Poker No Limit Holdem Tournament Blinds: t2000/t4000 (Ante: t500) 8 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: t105746 UTG+1: t40810 MP1: t167598 MP2: t75782 CO: t51808 Button: t17450 SB: t70381 Hero: t80103 Pre-flop: (8 players) Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises to t40000</font>, <font color="#cc0000">MP1 raises to t76000</font>, 4 folds, HERO? |
#2
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This is a push imo.
UTG+1's M is 4, so his opening range should be quite wide. The MP1 raise looks scary at first glance, but he just sets everyone behind him all-in. So I don't think that this shows a super tight range. Furthermore your M is down to 8 as well and this is a great time to nearly triple up. |
#3
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I fold.
Firstly you mentioned these two guys haven't been getting out of line. Secondly with the image they have been giving off I am not a fan of calling off my tournament life vs a raise and a re-raise with an unmade hand. If an aggro player had made that re-raise then yes, i push all day, but in this spot i think fold. |
#4
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Clear call.
UTG+1s range should be very wide here {say 25% but it probably should be wider}. MP1 can isolate with at the absolutely very tightest 99+,AQ, & surely wider than that. With those ranges your 49% for the sidepot (72K) & 34% for the mainpot (126K) 0.49(72) + 0.34(126) = 78K. Folding = 75.5K. Calling is +EV. And in reality your edge is bigger because I can't see MP1 not isolating, with eg AJ. Including just AJ gives 0.53(72) + 0.37(126) = 83.5 = 11% more than your chip stack if folding. Yes, passing here is giving up a 10+% edge. |
#5
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[ QUOTE ]
This is a push imo. UTG+1's M is 4, so his opening range should be quite wide. The MP1 raise looks scary at first glance, but he just sets everyone behind him all-in. So I don't think that this shows a super tight range. Furthermore your M is down to 8 as well and this is a great time to nearly triple up. [/ QUOTE ] btw emery is amaaaaazing. listening to them right now [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] |
#6
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its a push. big stack is iso-ing fairly wide here. his min-reraise would mean more if there was an actual stack behind him.
unless you've seen him play big pairs like this before (open minraise pre, reminraising it, etc) its a push. |
#7
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What would Barry say?
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#8
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] This is a push imo. UTG+1's M is 4, so his opening range should be quite wide. The MP1 raise looks scary at first glance, but he just sets everyone behind him all-in. So I don't think that this shows a super tight range. Furthermore your M is down to 8 as well and this is a great time to nearly triple up. [/ QUOTE ] btw emery is amaaaaazing. listening to them right now [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] nice, they are one of my favorite bands and some really good friends as well! |
#9
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appreciate all the feedback guys. I folded and kicked my self when the original raiser turned over A6 and the reraiser had AQ. AK was good. ugh. Live and learn.
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