#1
|
|||
|
|||
brag and question
Maybe I shouldn't post this here, but I actually did want an answer from the sng experts. In my last 19 9-man sngs ($20-$33), I had ten 1sts, one 2nd, and one 3rd! So I won 55% of the sngs I entered over this stretch. Talk about running hot. [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img] The question is - could this be some kind of record? Or not even close?
|
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: brag and question
this is probably more suited for the OT thread.
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: brag and question
[ QUOTE ]
this is probably more suited for the OT thread. [/ QUOTE ] and no, probably not |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: brag and question
well doesn't deserve a new thread I don't think.
Post in BBV |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: brag and question
[ QUOTE ]
well doesn't deserve a new thread I don't think. Post in BBV [/ QUOTE ] i meant its not a record, my b |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: brag and question
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] well doesn't deserve a new thread I don't think. Post in BBV [/ QUOTE ] i meant its not a record, my b [/ QUOTE ] I'm not so sure about that AD. I did some calcs: Assume "typical" player, long term prob of winning of 1/9 or .111. Then prob of 11+ wins in 19 tries is 0.000102% or approx. 1 in 978,000. Now assume I'm a great player, who is 50% more likely to win than the typical player, so long term I should win .167% of the time. I don't know if top players have that big of an edge, that's why I originally posted this on STT. Anyway, under this assumption the prob of 11+ wins is 0.0056% or approx. 1 in 18,000. But there is more. I won 2 of the next four I played after I posted this, so I'm now at 13 wins in 23 sngs. The probs are now: assume p=.111, prob of 13 wins in 23 is 0.000015% or approximately 1 in 6,500,000! assume p=.167, prob is 0.0016% or approximately 1 in 60,000. For the skeptical, here is my sharkscope graph: Just based on the probability calcs, I have to believe this must be an all time record, or damn close, if not. |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: brag and question
yes, ur the best
/thread |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: brag and question
[x] variance imobbq
|
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Re: brag and question
id say yes. it probably is a record. highest ROI for a losing player in 19 sng's
or highest riggedness of a online poekr site jk, nice job |
#10
|
|||
|
|||
Re: brag and question
I have to admit, anyone who looks at that graph would have to wonder if it was rigged, including myself. My fantasy is that I was randomly picked by some programmer at FT to give a sng rush from heaven.
|
|
|