#1
|
|||
|
|||
Bluffing
Villain seems competent and aggressive over small sample size. He 3-bet me once bvb and I folded. I have done nothing out of the ordinary.
By my calculations I am betting $33 to win $22, so this has to work 60% of the time to break even. (Not taking into account any equity I might have against his calling range, which presumably isn't much.) What do you guys think? (Apologies for self-converted HH, that website that does ipoker isn't working today.) GAME #711779184: Texas Hold'em NL $0.25/$0.50 2007-11-05 18:29:56 Table Kloof Seat 3: freroll ($9.25 in chips) Seat 5: vict75 ($50.35 in chips) Seat 6: Hamara ($50.35 in chips) DEALER Seat 8: HERO ($85.62 in chips) Seat 10: VILLAIN ($49.70 in chips) HERO: Post SB $0.25 VILLAIN: Post BB $0.50 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to HERO [A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]] freroll: Fold vict75: Fold Hamara: Fold HERO: Raise to $1.75 VILLAIN: Call $1.25 *** FLOP *** [5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] HERO: Check VILLAIN: Check *** TURN *** [2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] HERO: Bet $3.00 VILLAIN: Raise to $15.00 HERO: Raise to $63.00 (VILLAIN has $33 behind) |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Bluffing
This is one of those hands where unless I am at the table to see dynamics and villain, it looks like spew. Obviously you had some type of read to try to do this, or I hope you did at least. But without some real read or idea of how this guy plays, it obviously looks terrible.
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Bluffing
Why? What are you putting him on?
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Bluffing
Anything really, a set, tptk, a straight. You think he makes this move with air? I think the other question is does he fold top pair, because if the answer is no then this is definitely horrible.
|
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Bluffing
i think i make this move with air a lot.
|
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Bluffing
Well you know what youre doing, does villain do this with air? I think thats important to know along with the other question, no?
|
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Bluffing
i only make that move if i really know the table. members_only, what did you put him on? obviously total air or weak pair / draw, but this is a huge spew unless you have specific reads.
|
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Bluffing
[ QUOTE ]
members_only, what did you put him on? obviously total air or weak pair/draw [/ QUOTE ] I think he could be semi-bluffing with a flush draw a lot. He isn't really repping anything apart from maybe 43. Also, I think I'm not really repping a lot with my turn bet, which would make him more likely to bluff. Really I just thought [censored] you, you don't have anything most of the time here. I don't know if that's reasonable or not. |
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Bluffing
[ QUOTE ]
i think i make this move with air a lot. [/ QUOTE ] i wrote this just before i hopped into bed last night, and i think it's wrong. i do think i am likely to raise turn with lots of drawy stuff that has some chance to improve, and i am very unlikely to have a strong hand here. i think hero stands to take this down pretty often, but 60% is a tall order imo. |
#10
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Bluffing
You don't really represent anything here, this is def not a good bluff. Unless he has a history of being very weak or he knows you can show up with 55 here, you need to toss this hand. TBH just bet the flop
|
|
|