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#71
11-05-2007, 05:47 PM
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Re: Week 10 Rank\'em
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Don't worry, Kansas won't be winning out. Just go ahead and assume they have one loss even if it comes in the title game. @Oklahoma St. - They beat Texas, they could beat KU. Missouri - Has a good shot at beating KU. Title game... [/ QUOTE ] Uh... no they didn't. In any case, I give Kansas about a 10% chance of going undefeated. [/ QUOTE ] 10% is pretty close, probably a tad low. 70% to beat OSU 100% to beat ISU 50% to beat MU That's 35% to be undefeated going into the game against OU. I would think at that point they're better than 28% against OU on a neutral field. But 10% is pretty close. [/ QUOTE ] 100% to beat ISU? The team that just beat KSU and almost beat Oklahoma? 90% is more likely. You will be about 17 point favorites in that game according to Sagarin. You are only 5 point favorites @ Okie State- probably closer to 60 or 65% there. I haven't seen the money lines, so check there. 50% to beat MU is probably about right. That would mean you need 37% or better to beat Oklahoma to reach 10%. I think its pretty close to 8-10%. 
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#72
11-05-2007, 07:37 PM
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Re: Week 10 Rank\'em
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] suppose OSU was playing Michigan this week instead of next (it's at Michigan) -- what is the point spread? -4.5 OSU sound about right? [/ QUOTE ] I think it'd be higher given Henne and Hart injuries. I'd say -6.5, maybe even across the 7. [/ QUOTE ] Aren't they pretty much healthy at this point? Hart ran for 110 yards against Michigan State and Henne was 18/33 for 211 with 4 TDs. Even if they aren't at 100% now, I'd think they would be by a week from Saturday.
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#73
11-05-2007, 07:54 PM
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Re: Week 10 Rank\'em
1. Ohio State, 9-0
2. Kansas, 9-0 3. Oregon, 8-1 4. Louisiana State, 8-1 5. Arizona State, 8-1 6. Oklahoma, 8-1 7. Missouri, 8-1 8. West Virginia, 7-1 9. Boston College, 8-1 10. Hawaii, 8-0 11. Michigan, 8-2 12. Georgia, 7-2 13. Virginia Tech, 7-2 14. Southern Cal, 7-2 15. Conneticut, 8-1 16. Florida, 6-3 17. Auburn, 7-3 18. Clemson, 7-2 19. Texas, 8-2 20. Alabama, 7-3 21. California, 6-3 22. Tennessee, 6-3 23. Kentcuky, 6-3 24. Penn State, 7-3 25. Boise State, 8-1
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#74
11-05-2007, 07:57 PM
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Re: Week 10 Rank\'em
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] suppose OSU was playing Michigan this week instead of next (it's at Michigan) -- what is the point spread? -4.5 OSU sound about right? [/ QUOTE ] I think it'd be higher given Henne and Hart injuries. I'd say -6.5, maybe even across the 7. [/ QUOTE ] Aren't they pretty much healthy at this point? Hart ran for 110 yards against Michigan State and Henne was 18/33 for 211 with 4 TDs. Even if they aren't at 100% now, I'd think they would be by a week from Saturday. [/ QUOTE ] Neither is anywhere near 100%. They're just that good.
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#76
11-05-2007, 10:06 PM
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Re: Week 10 Rank\'em
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] suppose OSU was playing Michigan this week instead of next (it's at Michigan) -- what is the point spread? -4.5 OSU sound about right? [/ QUOTE ] I think it'd be higher given Henne and Hart injuries. I'd say -6.5, maybe even across the 7. [/ QUOTE ] Aren't they pretty much healthy at this point? Hart ran for 110 yards against Michigan State and Henne was 18/33 for 211 with 4 TDs. Even if they aren't at 100% now, I'd think they would be by a week from Saturday. [/ QUOTE ] Neither is anywhere near 100%. They're just that good. [/ QUOTE ] Then why didn't they beat MSU worse?
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#77
11-05-2007, 10:42 PM
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Re: Week 10 Rank\'em
[ QUOTE ]
tOSU has to be second only to Notre Dame for best teams to bet against vs. the spread. Tressel never runs it up and tOSU fans are delusional, degenerate bettors. [/ QUOTE ] Really? tOSU is 6-3 ATS this year, 9-3 last year. Both of those get them in the top 10 of all teams. In their 2002 NC run, they were 8-6 because they beat half their opponents by like 3 points. Now they are about even money on the O/U this year, 3-9 last year. My source for exact numbers was covers.com.
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#78
11-05-2007, 11:45 PM
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Re: Week 10 Rank\'em
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] tOSU has to be second only to Notre Dame for best teams to bet against vs. the spread. Tressel never runs it up and tOSU fans are delusional, degenerate bettors. [/ QUOTE ] Really? tOSU is 6-3 ATS this year, 9-3 last year. Both of those get them in the top 10 of all teams. In their 2002 NC run, they were 8-6 because they beat half their opponents by like 3 points. Now they are about even money on the O/U this year, 3-9 last year. My source for exact numbers was covers.com. [/ QUOTE ] Don't worry about the facts or anything, Riverman.
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#79
11-05-2007, 11:47 PM
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Re: Week 10 Rank\'em
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] suppose OSU was playing Michigan this week instead of next (it's at Michigan) -- what is the point spread? -4.5 OSU sound about right? [/ QUOTE ] I think it'd be higher given Henne and Hart injuries. I'd say -6.5, maybe even across the 7. [/ QUOTE ] Aren't they pretty much healthy at this point? Hart ran for 110 yards against Michigan State and Henne was 18/33 for 211 with 4 TDs. Even if they aren't at 100% now, I'd think they would be by a week from Saturday. [/ QUOTE ] Neither is anywhere near 100%. They're just that good. [/ QUOTE ] Then why didn't they beat MSU worse? [/ QUOTE ] Uhh they still won despite being way more injured than they or Carr or anyone is probably letting on? It was still a rivalry game on the road against a team with a good pass rush. Henne came up huge. Oh, and our playcalling blew so hard for all of the 3rd and half the 4th quarters. But that's standard.
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#80
11-05-2007, 11:48 PM
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Re: Week 10 Rank\'em
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] suppose OSU was playing Michigan this week instead of next (it's at Michigan) -- what is the point spread? -4.5 OSU sound about right? [/ QUOTE ] I think it'd be higher given Henne and Hart injuries. I'd say -6.5, maybe even across the 7. [/ QUOTE ] Aren't they pretty much healthy at this point? Hart ran for 110 yards against Michigan State and Henne was 18/33 for 211 with 4 TDs. Even if they aren't at 100% now, I'd think they would be by a week from Saturday. [/ QUOTE ] Neither is anywhere near 100%. They're just that good. [/ QUOTE ] Then why didn't they beat MSU worse? [/ QUOTE ] MSU always plays out of their minds against Michigan and Michigan has no respect for them.
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