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  #1  
Old 11-05-2007, 01:56 PM
cashstrapped cashstrapped is offline
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Default Fold here?

villain is 17.9/14.9/12 over 134 hands and seems solid

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($60.20)
UTG ($45.40)
Hero ($52.50)
CO ($71.05)
Button ($15.20)
SB ($45.15)

Preflop: Hero is MP with Q, A.
UTG calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2.5</font>, CO calls $2.50, 3 folds</font>, UTG calls $2.

Flop: ($8.25) Q, 2, 6 (3 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero bets $4</font>, CO raises to $10</font>, UTG folds, Hero calls $6.

Turn: ($28.25) 9 (2 players)</font>
Hero checks, CO checks.

River: ($28.25) 5 (2 players)</font>
Hero bets $9</font>, CO raises to $58.55</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $46.25
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  #2  
Old 11-05-2007, 02:10 PM
IAGTTAYM IAGTTAYM is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 125
Default Re: Fold here?

Bet more on the flop, something like 6 or 7. As played, call the raise.
On the turn villain most likely isn't checking two pair or a set, when there is a fd present.
On the river you make a very weak bet. Villain has a veryhigh aggr. factor so he probably could be shoving a missed draw, trying to make you fold some weak one pair hand. He could even be value shoving KQ.
Im not folding on the river, especially as we are getting good odds:

(28+40+9)/31=2.5
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  #3  
Old 11-05-2007, 02:12 PM
well named well named is offline
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Default Re: Fold here?

I'm not fond of your bet sizing here. This is a good flop for you, you should bet at least 6-7 for value, to charge flush draws, and also to discourage CO from bluff-raising, since with his AF he is probably bluff-raising c-bets on this board at least a fair amount of the time.

After CO checks the turn, I think your hand is almost always best, but again you make a very weak-looking bet and I think he can easily be raising with a busted draw or lower pocket pairs. You are getting about 2.5:1 which I think makes this a clear call. The only hands he has here which you are behind are sets, and as weak as your line looks he is betting a lot more than sets here in my opinion.

So bet more on the flop. If he still makes a big raise, then you have a tough decision, but by playing so weak you make it easy for him to run over you.
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  #4  
Old 11-05-2007, 02:13 PM
runfor1 runfor1 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: 32k hands left in November
Posts: 37
Default Re: Fold here?

I dont get your river bet. c/c this river. As played I fold but seriously, I dont get the river bet, its too small for a blocking bet.

His solid stats lead me to believe he is raising the flop b/c he thinks you have nothing or he is wanting a free card with his FD.
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  #5  
Old 11-05-2007, 02:16 PM
traz traz is offline
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Default Re: Fold here?

I probably call because a) his line looks like garbage and b) your river bet is terrible and begging to be raised
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  #6  
Old 11-05-2007, 02:17 PM
Unknown Soldier Unknown Soldier is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 8,587
Default Re: Fold here?

c/c river, his betting range &gt; calling range after the flop/turn action. As played i look him up, his line makes absolutely no sense.
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  #7  
Old 11-05-2007, 03:02 PM
wslee00 wslee00 is offline
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Posts: 2,493
Default Re: Fold here?

man your bet sizing sucks... do you LIKE having to make hard decisions?
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