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Old 11-04-2007, 03:59 PM
jay_shark jay_shark is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 2,277
Default Re: 600 nl cash

This is a very tough hand .

Lets estimate the hands that may have raised you given his pre-flop action :

1)Hands you beat : k-j , k-q , Ac-j
2)Hands you can't beat : any two clubs , k-9, k-10 , 9-10 , j-q .

1)There are 12+ 12+ 4 = 28 combination of hands you're ahead of at the moment .

2) There are 9+9+9+16 + about 10 club hands = 53 hands you are trailing with .

So given the rough estimates , it appears that you're a 2:1 dog at the moment .

You're getting better than 2:1 on your flop call but your effective odds are certainly less than that . So you have to decide if you want to play for your stack or not . I may have a hard time letting this go but I don't see folding as a bad option against a solid player .
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