NL50-AA vs Nity villian

[Yazoo]

Titan No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25/$0.50BB (Titan HH Converter by Kreatief)

MP2 ($50.00)
MP3 ($50.00)
CO ($49.75)
Button ($117.00) (Hero)
SB ($57.45)
BB ($53.30)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, MP3 checks, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to 2.5</font>, SB calls $2.25, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>,

Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ( $6 )
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $4.00</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to 15.0</font>, SB calls $11.00,

Turn: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ( $36 )
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $14.00</font>, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>,

Final Pot: $48.20

Villian 13/10 [3-5-oo], call preflop raise-4 after 92 hands
What should I do on the river? Seems like set. Any thoughts apreciated.

[Profish2285]

This line is so read dependent. I have seen people do this with a pair that is afraid of the scare card, a pair that improves slightly with a draw or something, and the nuts as well. I guess against a villain with those stats I would probably fold, but Im not 100% sure.

[whyzze]

I think this is a blocking bet with fd/AT/JJ or QJ. A set is in his range...but I cant see an aggro nit not shoving this flop with a set. Maybe he is going for a stack a donk, but that board is just way to wet to peel.

his bet really screws us over. We cant really call. If we call we lose value against the lower end of his range. Pot odds are good so i dont like folding. Raising is ok. He is pretty much commited.

I can definately see him taking this line with JJ/AQs/AJs and so on.

I dont hate a fold, but I would shove.

[Profish2285]

If you really give pf some thought as far as villain goes, what are reasonable hands someone with those stats would call with? TT (would probably 3 bet, so only a few combos), 99, 33, AJss, AQss, ATs, maybe QJs (just a few combos of that though), T9 (again seems a little off, so a few combos only). I guess if someone wants to do the math for that range or something like it against AA we could figure out what to do here.

[Yazoo]

I think this kind of players very rare 3-bet with TT and maybe JJ.
On the turn, I cant figure what hands can call my push.

[Profish2285]

His line really doesnt look like he is folding to your push. When I look at the range I made, which I think is a reasonable one, you are not a big favorite to any of them, but are a big dog to a few. At first glance I think its a fold but without the math I am unsure. Also, if he would not 3 bet TT pf, then I think this is even more of a fold as you can include all the combos of TT in there.

[whyzze]

[ QUOTE ]
I think this kind of players very rare 3-bet with TT and maybe JJ.
On the turn, I cant figure what hands can call my push.

[/ QUOTE ]

pretty much anything...25 into 90...folding there with anything but air is pretty bad.