I gots a double-belly-gut-buster. Push? ($10 rebuy)

[I_Like_Beer]

Full Tilt $10 rebuy. We are right near the money bubble.

No reads on villain. I try and steal with A7. I have a double-belly-gut-buster, and possibly an over. So as many as 11 outs. Will a push have fold equity over a mid pair like 88 or 99?

Just fold to his min-raise?




Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 400/800 Blinds, 100 Ante, 9 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

MP1: 30,964
MP2: 12,188
Hero (CO): 30,805
BTN: 7,043
SB: 29,795
BB: 37,541
UTG: 50,662
UTG+1: 12,485
UTG+2: 41,538

Pre-Flop: (2,100) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A dealt to Hero (CO)
5 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to 2,500</font>, 2 folds, BB calls 1,700

Flop: (6,300) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets 4,500</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to 9,000</font>, Hero ??????????


Thanks

[hamnegger]

id shove

[brad2002tj]

I usually fold. He amost always has something, we are at best about 25% to make the hand.

[homanga]

A shove is probably fine, but being near the bubble I think there are better spots with your stacks size to chip up.

[halpgr]

It can be dangerous to cbet a gutshot draw on a flop where a raise would leave you priced out and forced to fold. Check behind the flop.

[Willd]

Folding here is pretty bad as you're getting the right pot odds to draw to your double gutshot and your ace is also often good. After he raises it depends a lot on your read of villain. Against most villains I will just call and give up on most turns, but if villain is tight enough to fold 77/88/99 type hands here then a shove is fine.

However I agree with halpgr that checking behind is probably good as you're never folding an overpair with a single bet and you're not likely to fold out many worse hands with a c-bet. If villain makes a real raise here you may get priced off your draw when you could have taken a free card, which is a very bad result.

[levAA]

[ QUOTE ]
It can be dangerous to cbet a gutshot draw on a flop where a raise would leave you priced out and forced to fold. Check behind the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

the draw is open ended.

If you bet and get min-raised i also would shove here - you should have at least 11 outs. with the pot odds given here it's a pretty clear shove.

still i also would check the flop, if villain bets i would set him all-in.

[ZenMusician]

[ QUOTE ]
check the flop, if villain bets i would set him all-in.

[/ QUOTE ]

Unless it's a 2p2er, in which case they will call every
time and you will miss...oh wrong forum [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

-ZEN

[Hattifnatt]

betting flop is fine, now its close but pushing is ok.

[deepsquat]

His raise looks weak. Not sure if villain is capable of a minny raise with a strong hand to keep you interested. Id shove here