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  #1  
Old 10-31-2007, 09:41 PM
Logun Logun is offline
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Default 25nl - what hands will I see here?

Am I nittish if I fold - putting him on KK/AA?

only 63 hands on villain - 25.4/17.4/2.83


Full Tilt Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

SB: $25.75
BB: $17.85
UTG: $41
Hero (MP): $24.65
CO: $15
BTN: $25.35

Pre-Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $0.85</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3</font>, CO folds, BTN calls $3, 2 folds, UTG calls $2.15

Flop: ($9.35) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $7</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $22.35 and is All-In</font>, UTG folds, Hero....?????
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  #2  
Old 10-31-2007, 10:18 PM
doppelganger doppelganger is offline
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Default Re: 25nl - what hands will I see here?

He's aggressive enough that it's a call. A guy like this might do this with an overpair as low as 88, putting you on AK. You'll be beat sometimes but getting better than 2:1 on the flop I think it's ok. You're pretty much committed by your cbet anyway.
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  #3  
Old 10-31-2007, 10:43 PM
Profish2285 Profish2285 is offline
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Default Re: 25nl - what hands will I see here?

Snap call. Im putting villain on an overpair here and sets, but the combos of overpairs outweigh the combos of sets. On a side note, I feel like I have made this same response to almost the same topic about 20x in the past two weeks.
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  #4  
Old 10-31-2007, 10:45 PM
Logun Logun is offline
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Default Re: 25nl - what hands will I see here?

[ QUOTE ]
Snap call. Im putting villain on an overpair here and sets, but the combos of overpairs outweigh the combos of sets. On a side note, I feel like I have made this same response to almost the same topic about 20x in the past two weeks.

[/ QUOTE ]

sorry I've been doing more playing than reading lately
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  #5  
Old 10-31-2007, 10:49 PM
hockeyav hockeyav is offline
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Default Re: 25nl - what hands will I see here?

I think you're seeing AK-AJ and any pocket pair up to JJ here. KK/AA would have 3 bet you preflop, so I don't see villain holding that very often. I snap-call this flop all in.
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  #6  
Old 10-31-2007, 10:53 PM
whyherro whyherro is offline
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Default Re: 25nl - what hands will I see here?

This guy has good stats, is probably not "putting you on a hand", and is probably shoving a range of JJ+ and sets.

If he is remotely sane his coldcalling range here is pp's and AK. There's no draws on the board so he is not doing this with overs + FD.

After you three bet pf he would be idiotic to shove 88-TT, and maybe even JJ.

Drop this.
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  #7  
Old 11-01-2007, 12:23 AM
Profish2285 Profish2285 is offline
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Default Re: 25nl - what hands will I see here?

You are folding here based on a 63 hand sample size? And his stats arent nitty at all either, theyre more borderline loose aggressive, folding here is terrible.
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  #8  
Old 11-01-2007, 12:30 AM
Schiester Schiester is offline
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Default Re: 25nl - what hands will I see here?

Who would shove a set here given the ranges implied by the pf action?

I think this is more likely overpairs like 99+ and less likely to be KK/AA as someone with this AF would often 4bet these hands pf.

Call.
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  #9  
Old 11-01-2007, 12:34 AM
Profish2285 Profish2285 is offline
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Default Re: 25nl - what hands will I see here?

To play devil's advocate here, shoving here is not a bad play because if he is going to raise, its the only reasonable one he can make. His push is slightly more than 3x the original raise on the flop. Regardless though, do not fold here, just dont.
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