nl200 (tough?) riverspot against aggro villian

EricCardman32 · #1 10-30-2007, 05:04 AM

I'm at this table for like 2orbits and villian is pretty fishy and was involved in many pots so far (but I didn't see any meaningful hands of him).
He runs 40/10/7 over 80hands.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (5 handed) Party Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($62.34)
MP ($308.33)
Button ($386.95)
Hero ($210.25)
BB ($196.85)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
2 folds, Button calls $2, Hero completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($7) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $5, Button calls $5, Hero raises to $15, BB folds, Button calls $10.

Turn: ($42) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $30, Button calls $30.

River: ($102) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $65, Button calls $386.95 (All-In), Hero calls $98 (All-In).

Final Pot: $650.50

Irishman07 · #2 10-30-2007, 05:17 AM

I would lean towards a fold here on the river. This is pretty much never air by him, it's just a question of if he thinks he has the best hand with AJ/overpair/75. I tend to doubt he has worse than you often enough to call.

Slider · #3 10-30-2007, 08:26 AM

Such great odds though...Only need to be good ~23% of the time.

Suigin406 · #4 10-30-2007, 08:50 AM

really tough, like u said, u need to be good here 23% of the time...but wow, i'm not sure what we beat when he does this tbh

OMGTILTING · #5 10-30-2007, 09:06 AM

you are behind very often but given the odds i think you have to call

BobbyLight · #6 10-30-2007, 09:16 AM

I would raise more on the flop ($23ish) and bet closer to pot on the turn so we can likely shove the river.

As played, to be honest, you aren't good 23% of the time here, IMO...so, whatever.

Do work,

Rob