100plo: Woes with AAKK on dry board

[BountyKilla]

I dont know anything about villian....im thinking i should fold now but its such a dry board is he really calling a big rr preflop with 88/55/22 in his hand ?

FullTiltPoker Game #3997283977: Table Astral (6 max) - $0.50/$1 - Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 19:43:21 ET - 2007/10/28
Seat 1: Urho K ($96)
Seat 2: GambitMJ ($100)
Seat 3: Jac The River ($211.95)
Seat 4: arnoldcream ($29.75)
Seat 5: FearSteveDownie ($141.55)
Seat 6: BustedNutz300 ($170.50)
Urho K posts the small blind of $0.50
GambitMJ posts the big blind of $1
The button is in seat #6
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to GambitMJ [Ks As Kc Ah]
Jac The River has 15 seconds left to act
Jac The River raises to $3.50
arnoldcream folds
FearSteveDownie folds
BustedNutz300 calls $3.50
Urho K folds
GambitMJ raises to $14.50
Jac The River has 15 seconds left to act
Jac The River folds
BustedNutz300 has 15 seconds left to act
BustedNutz300 calls $11
*** FLOP *** [2s 8h 5c]
GambitMJ bets $24
BustedNutz300 raises to $48
GambitMJ raises to $85.50, and is all in
BustedNutz300 calls $37.50
GambitMJ shows [Ks As Kc Ah]

[crashwhips]

This is one of those close spots that I don't think it really matters what you do, though I would lean towards shoving. Sometimes you'll see 88 or a double paired hand with 22 or 55 in it, but I think you're more likely to see a hand like 5678, 6789, 789T which you are marginally ahead or behind of, so I think a call is fine. In the worst case scenario where you're up against a set, you still have 4 outs + the backdoor spadess. There's always a chance he's on a bluff or semibluff with a weak hand and trying to push you off your aces too, though his minraise is somewhat troubling since it looks like he doesn't want you to fold.

[OrrLives]

He has a 22 aggression postflop? Over how many hands?

If he is that beserko, betting out pot isn't terrible but I would favor a c/r shove. If you are wrong and he has a set, you have 4 outs. If he has 2 pair, you have a bit more outs.

[iggymcfly]

You've got 5.5 outs minimum unless you're against exactly 5543, and you're really not that sure you're behind. You have to get it in with these stack sizes.

[OrrLives]

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You've got 5.5 outs minimum unless you're against exactly 5543, and you're really not that sure you're behind. You have to get it in with these stack sizes.

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5.5?

[Flip-Flop]

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5.5?

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The back-door-flush-draw.

[OrrLives]

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5.5?

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The back-door-flush-draw.

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Ah... didn't see that.

[sqwisssssss]

the ol min raise. what a donk.

8876? ugh, i been in these spots and stacked off and your either up against a set or wrap or 2 pair.

with that being said, i think your a defiante loser in this spot in the long run but considering your equity, it less "loserable" in the long run to stack off.

too bad you werent deeper, then you could get away from the hand.......but not for 100 bb's.

[pete fabrizio]

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too bad you werent deeper, then you could get away from the hand.......but not for 100 bb's.

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if you would fold deeper but would call shorter, you should be happy that you are short.

[sqwisssssss]

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too bad you werent deeper, then you could get away from the hand.......but not for 100 bb's.

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if you would fold deeper but would call shorter, you should be happy that you are short.

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totally