#61
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
I was about to take the Helton vs. Ramirez when it was at +135 but it dropped to +130. My estimate showed it still had some value at +130 but not enough of an edge to bet it. All the others I estimated to be -EV. I did bet one prop for this game, which was Jiminez BB+K Over 7.5 -130.
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#62
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
I think tha tyou could have got Jimenez BB+K o7 at 5dimes for like -135 or -140 which would have been better.
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#63
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
Yeah, that would have been better. Unfortunately I don't have an account there yet.
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#64
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
[ QUOTE ]
(it is if you assume Poisson distribution of run scored) [/ QUOTE ] No. |
#65
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] (it is if you assume Poisson distribution of run scored) [/ QUOTE ] No. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah I know it is a poor approximation as runs are not independent, could you suggest a better approximation? |
#66
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
[ QUOTE ]
I did bet one prop for this game, which was Jiminez BB+K Over 7.5 -130. [/ QUOTE ] Aww, WTF they're taking him out already? 5 BB, 2 K, sigh. |
#67
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
anyone here know when vegas sportsbooks open in the morning? this could have a significant impact on my breakfast plans for tonight/tomorrow.
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#68
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
usually around 9-10 am depending
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#69
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
Hilton opens at 8 AM. The Coasts' are closed like 3 hours a day, I think they are opened up again by 7 am, maybe earlier.
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#70
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
[ QUOTE ]
Hilton opens at 8 AM. The Coasts' are closed like 3 hours a day, I think they are opened up again by 7 am, maybe earlier. [/ QUOTE ] Stardust used to be 6-7am. Great place to nab the opening lines for MarchMadness after a nite of partying. Although one time I walked in right after some loon shot a guy. Most of the regulars hadn't moved much. |
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