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#1
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FullTiltPoker Game #3901608446: $20 + $2 Sit & Go (29693128), Table 1 - 100/200 - No Limit Hold'em - 11:16:55 ET - 2007/10/19
Seat 3: SurfChick (1,200) Seat 4: Villain (3,940) Seat 6: Hero (4,190) Seat 8: ThSharkIsHungry (4,170) Villain posts the small blind of 100 Hero posts the big blind of 200 Villain is known to be loose/passive and fills from the SB after the other two fold. Hero is dealt A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and raises to 600, Villain calls. Flop K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 1,200 in the pot Villain checks, Hero bets 600, Villain calls. Turn J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2,400 in the pot Villain checks, Hero bets 1,200 and Villain calls. River J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4,800 in the pot, Villain has 1,540 left and Hero 1,790 Since we are on the bubble and SurfChick has an M of 4, is value betting the river positive tournament equity? The only hands I'm really worried about are 77, 22 and KJ and I suspect almost any other K will pay me off. Is that too optimistic? Would you value bet, and if so, how much? |
#2
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push turn.
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#3
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More on the flop so you can stick it in on the turn. I'd still shove the river and expect to get paid by every king and possibly worse.
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#4
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900 on flop, shove turn. as played, shove river.
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#5
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Despite Villain being typically loose/passive, is there any reason to think we're beat here and should maybe slow down?
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#6
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More importantly, will the last bet be called often enough by a worse hand to risk an otherwise healthy-ish 1,800 left in chips?
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#7
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I would guess he shoves KJ or any 2 pair on the turn. So, I can't see how you are beat here.
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