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Old 10-19-2007, 02:27 PM
Dudd Dudd is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 3,048
Default Re: Torre is back

[ QUOTE ]
But SABR analysis doesn't answer everything. It doesn't explain Bucky Dent, for instance.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is a horrible line of reasoning. It's basically [insert something improbable here], explain that, smart guy! Improbable things happen. Sabr never claims to have Miss Cleo like forcasting abilities, it's not a baseball superuser. It just looks at what players have done in the past, use various methods of projecting future performance, and then sit back and watch the game. Just because someone is unlikely to win the lottery does not mean that statistics are wrong because someone does, in fact win the lottery.
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