#1
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AA vs a fishy on scary board
Fishy is 45/20/1.6 over a good sample.
The following hand happened literally a second ago another table. Money is still shipping my way. Tight CO opens, I pop from SB with QQ, fishy in question cold calls from BB, CO calls. I cbet T78 two tone flop, fishy pushes, CO folds, I suck out with QQ over his Kings. Someone limps, fishy limps in SB, I raise to 3.5 from BB with AA, limper folds, fishy calls. Flop 7T9 tow tone. I bet $6 into $7, fishy pop to $16. $60 behind. |
#2
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Re: AA vs a fishy on scary board
He doesn't seem to be too worried about overpairs. I'm folding here.
Does this range sound reasonable for this villan? Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 121,770 games 0.005 secs 24,354,000 games/sec Board: 7d Td 9h Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 23.501% 22.06% 01.44% 26868 1749.00 { AA } Hand 1: 76.499% 75.06% 01.44% 91404 1749.00 { 99, 77, T9s, 86s, AdTc, AdTh, AdTs, T9o } |
#3
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Re: AA vs a fishy on scary board
I think your range is skewed towards only hands that beat us. He could easily have JT, QJ, 98, T8, etc. if he can have 86s.
I expect to see a draw or draw+pair that we are ahead of more often than not here. He's probably steaming a bit from that last hand and the aggression is kicked up a notch. |
#4
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Re: AA vs a fishy on scary board
[ QUOTE ]
I think your range is skewed towards only hands that beat us. He could easily have JT, QJ, 98, T8, etc. if he can have 86s. I expect to see a draw or draw+pair that we are ahead of more often than not here. He's probably steaming a bit from that last hand and the aggression is kicked up a notch. [/ QUOTE ] So call, raise or shove? |
#5
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Re: AA vs a fishy on scary board
I'm pushing. And I expect to be called almost every time. I ran a bit wider range through Stove and think we're probably about 50/50 here equity-wise.
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#6
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Re: AA vs a fishy on scary board
[ QUOTE ]
I'm pushing. And I expect to be called almost every time. I ran a bit wider range through Stove and think we're probably about 50/50 here equity-wise. [/ QUOTE ] Cheers. Good point. ...Seeing monsters again. |
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