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#1
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Villain is 30/20/2.75 over ~100 hands. He hasn't been out of line so far.
I checked the turn for pot control, and to be able to get some value from his weaker overpairs on the river. This might be a mistake though. I really don't see what he could be vbetting on the river besides 22/55/66. He didn't play very loose from the blinds so I didn't think a lone 5 was in his range. I'm not sure he would do this with a flush on this board. But on the other hands if he has 77-JJ, why would he turn his hand into a bluff here ? Given that the flush got there pretty much all of his range has showdown value right ? Tell me what you think of my play. Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players LegoPoker Hand History Converter BB: $56.25 UTG: $43.25 CO: $47.55 Hero (BTN): $49.75 SB: $143.80 Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN) 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2</font>, SB calls $1.75, BB calls $1.50 Flop: ($6) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players) SB checks, BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $4.50</font>, SB calls $4.50, BB folds Turn: ($15) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) SB checks, Hero checks River: ($15) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">SB bets $14</font>, Hero calls $14 |
#2
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I would expect an overpair to block or c/call this river. I highly doubt your ahead here.
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#3
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with an overpair on the flop, most people raise for protection. so, his hand is likely polarized between nothing (flush/straight draw or overcards) and a monster (on the flop that is).
but when you check the turn it's hard to know what he has. he could have KQ, he could have quads, he could have a flush, he could have QT, etc. All those hands bet the river. So, play with poker stove and see whether you should call or not. |
#4
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I like it. With his stats, he's loose enough and aggressive enough to try this with a variety of hands.
When you check the turn, he will bet a lot of hands either as an outright bluff or simply betting weak hands that he thinks he might be ahead of... like JJ. I think check behind turn and call river a reasonable number of times against him seems about right. |
#5
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Initial instinct: Fold.
After some thinking... Everything hit, wtf can he have we beat except pure bluff and what pure bluffs are around to do this? Unless he has say 44/33 i dunno why he bets, he's essentially bluffing. But why bet so big? 14>15 is like a "dont call me" or "HAHA VALUE TOWN BITCH" bet. HMm i actually dont mind a call, i think we're ahead of his low PP's he bets as a bluff here. |
#6
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Pretty easy fold IMO
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#7
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I dont mind the call. He's going to be betting this river with air after your turn check, as well as with the low pockets that missed.
Can easily argue for a fold on the river as well. I would have bet/folded the turn. |
#8
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[ QUOTE ]
I dont mind the call. He's going to be betting this river with air after your turn check, as well as with the low pockets that missed. [/ QUOTE ] The problem is that what air hands could Villain possibly have ? It seems very unlikely that he floated with stuff like KQo oop. I think I should have folded the river. Results : <font color="white"> Villain had 66 </font> |
#9
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this is the easiest turn bet ever imo, you´re in position. bet about 9$, you chrage 1 card heart draws and villain is with 99% certainty not bluffing the river. bet the turn! use your position! by not betting the turn you have a huge wtf decision. by betting the turn you avoind getting bluffed, charge fd, and set the price...
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#10
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Yeah bet the turn. About 2/3 pot is fine. Should still get action from overpairs but gives you a cheaper showdown on the river (assuming you check). Obviously instant fold if he c/r or leads big on river.
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