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#1
10-09-2007, 07:20 PM
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20NL - flopped set, turn brings possible straight
I'm trying to switch from limit to NL. I think I made the right decisions (except maybe for my smallish turn bet). I think I was correct in calling the turn raise. I'm pretty sure I'm facing a straight here but I have immediate odds to call the raise hoping for a full house. I would like to know what you think my play should be on the river. Should I let it go or call down?
Villain is 45/36/2.5 over 120 hands. Noble Poker 0.10/0.20, hand converted by the iPoker Converter at Talking-Poker saw flop | <font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font> Button <font color="#C00000">Button ($36.14)</font> SB ($11.83) BB <font color="#C00000">Hero ($18.90)</font> UTG ($22.64) Preflop: Hero is in the BB with Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 1 fold, Button raises to 0.60, 1 fold, Hero raises to 1.50, Button calls 1.10. Flop (3.50) 5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Hero bets 3.00, Button calls 3.00. Turn (9.50) J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Hero bets 3.00, Button raises to 6.00, Hero calls 3.00. River (21.50) 6 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Hero checks, Button bets 8.00, Hero??? 
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#2
10-09-2007, 07:34 PM
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Re: 20NL - flopped set, turn brings possible straight
You think you're up against a straight? He could only have had AK, K9, or 89 to turn a straight; all of those are gutshot draws that would most likely need a spade draw along with them to justify a call. Of these, K9 and 89 probably fold preflop to your 3-bet, so only AK spades (which I think would 4bet you preflop, especially a 45/36) are likely holdings.
I think a hand like QJ, Q10, or something like pair/spade draw are more commmon. hate the turn bet, just looks like weakness. Bet like ~6.5-7.5. I shove turn, trying to get as much money in as possible. As played, shove river. It's a complete blank. When you check, 2pr hands probably assume they are good here. Who knows, Villain could even have donk-called the flop with JJ.
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#3
10-09-2007, 07:37 PM
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Re: 20NL - flopped set, turn brings possible straight
Reraise more PF - like $2 or something.
Flop is fine. Turn, bet $6.5 and push over his minraise. It's likely that he has 2 pair or a smaller set and if he hit his gutshot then we'll just have to re-suckout. As played call River (that puts you AI doesn't it?).
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