Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Theory
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-02-2007, 10:26 PM
pzhon pzhon is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 4,515
Default Re: 100,000 hands

The standard deviation for live limit play is usually expressed in BB/hour, which technically should be BB/sqrt(hour). For online limit games, the standard deviation is usually expressed in BB/(100 hands).

After n independent periods, the standard deviation of your result is sqrt(n) times as great. The standard deviation of your observed win rate per period is smaller byb a factor of sqrt(n).

So, if your standard deviation is 15 BB/100 (a typical figure for online limit full ring), then after 10,000 hands the standard deviation of your total result is about 150 BB, and the standard deviation of your observed win rate is about 1.5 BB/100.

The main assumption is independence, that your results in this batch of 100 hands tells you nothing about how you will do in the next 100. This is not necessarily true if you tilt, but tilt is not a rational phenomenon. So, it is usually ignored.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:41 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.