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Old 10-02-2007, 02:22 AM
Reaction Reaction is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
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Default Re: Hit with top pair, but T kicker?

DM, that range was similar to mine. Spending 2BB for 6.5BB you need to be good or draw out ~ 25%


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

1,496 games 0.005 secs 299,200 games/sec

Board: 5c Qc 8d 6d
Dead:

equity
Hand 0: 10.094% { QhTh }
Hand 1: 89.906% { 88, 55, Ac8c, KQs, QJs, Q8s, Q5s, 85s, 7c6c, KQo, QJo, Q8o }


I added AQ, Q9 and came up with this:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

2,376 games 0.005 secs 475,200 games/sec

Board: 5c Qc 8d 6d
Dead:

equity
Hand 0: 20.960% {QhTh }
Hand 1: 79.040% { 88, 55, AQs, Ac8c, KQs, QJs, Q9s-Q8s, Q5s, 85s, 7c6c, AQo, KQo, QJo, Q9o-Q8o, Q5o }


I agree with the remarks about reads, stats, etc.. I just don’t through out available information. I obviously weighted the given stats more then others. This is perhaps a leak.
I don’t think an unknown pushes two clubs this hard – and this is not a total unknown
I will say that I would expect a ‘slow play’ some % on sets so maybe they can be discounted a bit too.
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