NL25: AA - Turn decision

ranka · #1 10-01-2007, 01:07 PM

Villian is new, maybe 20 hands and no reads/notes.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($13.70)
BB ($5.85)
UTG ($13.05)
UTG+1 ($27)
MP1 ($8)
MP2 ($25.15)
Hero ($26.85)
Button ($18.70)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 1 fold, SB calls $1.15, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1.

Flop: ($4) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $3.5, SB calls $3.50, UTG+1 folds.

Turn: ($11) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets $8.95 (All-In), Hero ?

I cant be sure what villian have. He is quite shortie, these quys will push any ten also with draw. What you will do ?

Jay.Yang · #2 10-01-2007, 01:15 PM

I'll call here. You'll see over pairs, draw enough time to make 2:1 profitable.

zyrrth · #3 10-01-2007, 01:16 PM

i hate these middlestacks, i call here and i stack off pretty light against them because they are usually terrible.

warrantofice · #4 10-01-2007, 01:19 PM

raisy daisy

Sounded Simple · #5 10-01-2007, 01:23 PM

Roughly thinking...

FD or OESD has 8 outs, Your Equity is ~ 80%
JJ-KK has 2 outs, Your Equity is ~ 95%
If they have a set, 2P or T you have 2 outs, Your Equity is ~ 5%

Classic WA/WB and readless its pretty tough.
Your getting about 2.2 to 1 on your money so if you think you are ahead here more than 30% then call.

Problem is that playing without a read is like playing with 1 hole card covered.

Edit - I forgot to include a bluff in his range so that may swing a call.
If you had a read - snap call against a manic and fold against a nit.