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#122
09-26-2007, 01:41 PM
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Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
How is giving up 140yds to Hart during a 30-pt victory a bad thing? Let Mich grind it out on the ground and waste any chance of coming back. Expert coaching imho.
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#123
09-26-2007, 03:21 PM
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Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
The point isn't that it was bad for that game. It's just that Oregon's consistently had trouble against the run and Cal is the most explosive rushing team they've faced. The number OU gave up against Houston is the one that's really concerning me most. The other numbers were just to show it wasn't a fluke.
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#124
09-26-2007, 03:25 PM
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Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] why does everyone love ND? Purdues D is not that bad and its at home. I'd stay away. [/ QUOTE ] Uhhhh, Purdue's defense is putrid [/ QUOTE ] Purdue's defense sucks
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#126
09-26-2007, 06:13 PM
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Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
[ QUOTE ]
nate - i was on ASU for the game that got ppd as well. The latest results definitely warranted a line-change. But this current line implies that Ark St would be just a 1 point fave over MEM on a neutral-field and I strongly disagree with that and think it's partly due to the size and reputations of the 2 programs and conferences somewhat. Ark St's performances vs. TEN and TEX caught my attention. The fact that they have already proven they can beat a CUSA team in SMU pushes me well past the edge. And then MEM's dismal game against UCF...and before that they actually struggled somewhat against freaking Jax St. Wow. Ark St is probably 4 pts better than MEM at least...so at home I would rate them as 7 pt faves. If Ark St got beat up badly against TEN then perhaps that changes things somewhat. Also, as I believe we discussed before, this is something of a revenge game for MEM since they were embarassed at home by these guys last yr so they'll have some extra motivation. Whether morale tanks after their loss last week or they use it to inspire them to work harder in practice this week and perhaps get their act together remains to be seen. But overall I think Ark St has shown that they are way more than just 1 pt better than MEM if playing on a neutral-field but nobody really knows who they are or has paid any attention to them. Even their solid performance against TEX was simply written off to TEX not performing well. Ark St wasn't given any credit for that game by most people nor the TEN game. [/ QUOTE ] I don't disagree with you logic at all, just thought it should be mentioned since the postponed game thing is a little unusual. Definitely leaning towards Ark St.
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#127
09-26-2007, 06:24 PM
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Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
Ywah, I know. I just felt like elaboratig more.
I felt so-so about ARK ST +3 the first time around. I actually feel better about it now even though it's -4 because recent results have me believing even more that ARK ST is distinctly the better team as opposed to the first time around where I was just thinking they might be the better team.
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#128
09-26-2007, 06:44 PM
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Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
What about Clemson -3 at Georgia Tech?
Tech has laid an egg since crushing ND opening week. Clemson has beaten up some decent teams. I find it hard to believe that Clemson is only a 1 pt favorite on a neutral field. Only negative I see is that Clemson plays Va Tech next week, but I can't imagine they overlook a conference road game.
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#129
09-26-2007, 06:55 PM
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Re: Week 5 NCAAF Early Lines Thread
Agree, thinking about it, not sure I like laying even 1pt on the road here though.
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