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  #1  
Old 09-24-2007, 03:40 PM
pacman2k7 pacman2k7 is offline
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Posts: 257
Default NL25, JJ turn decision needed

Villain is 24/22/1,5 39 hands

If he bets on turn I probably fold,because only I can beat here is TT, but his checks screams overcards to me.

Shove here is ok?

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $41.10
BB: $60.25
UTG: $24.00
MP: $9.10
Hero (CO): $24.20
BTN: $24.65

Preflop: Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.25</font>, BTN folds, <font color="red">SB raises to $3.75</font>, BB folds, Hero calls $2.50

Flop: ($7.75) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $5.00</font>, Hero calls $5.00

Turn: ($17.75) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero ??
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  #2  
Old 09-24-2007, 03:45 PM
notontilt09 notontilt09 is offline
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Default Re: NL25, JJ turn decision needed

i like a shove here
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  #3  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:04 PM
Antinome Antinome is offline
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Location: Boston
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Default Re: NL25, JJ turn decision needed

[ QUOTE ]
i like a shove here

[/ QUOTE ]

Why? you are way ahead of AK, AQ, TT and way behind QQ+

You are way better off checking and letting him bluff at a missed river.
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  #4  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:13 PM
pacman2k7 pacman2k7 is offline
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Default Re: NL25, JJ turn decision needed

Why QQ+ check on turn?
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  #5  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:15 PM
Antinome Antinome is offline
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Default Re: NL25, JJ turn decision needed

[ QUOTE ]
Why QQ+ check on turn?

[/ QUOTE ]

To stackadonk you with a c/rai.
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  #6  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:21 PM
pacman2k7 pacman2k7 is offline
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Default Re: NL25, JJ turn decision needed

stackadonk with 1,5 AF??!
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  #7  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:26 PM
Antinome Antinome is offline
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Default Re: NL25, JJ turn decision needed

1.5 over 39 hands might just mean he's been missing the last few flops. I wouldn't conclude anything from it at this point.

...and if you did conclude QQ+ was far less likely, you should bet a very small amount to induce a bluff or a bad call, not push.
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