Breeder's Cup future. Sweet price wont last long.

[cefis21]

Lear's Princess is 8-1 to win the BC Distaff at Bodog and those odds wont make it into Wed night. A sweet price for the horse that just beat Rags to Riches and is likely the top F/M in the conutry. The race is Oct 27 only a month away. She is very much going to be the favorite or second choice with her best odds of maybe 5-2.
Of course betting horse futures is risky with injuries and possible illness. But Lear's at 8-1 is a dream price.

[Bishop22]

BC day is a crap shoot, I will rarely take 8-1 on the day of the races, let alone 5 weeks in advance.

[TomCowley]

I must be missing something. That horse isn't even listed on betus, and is +600 in a field with absolutely ridiculous juice on WSEX. On sportingbet.com.au, which has juice of over 100%, Lear's is 7:1. 8:1 may be the best odds available, but it hardly looks like a value bet, based on the market.

[cefis21]

I consider it a value bet if I get 8-1 and she goes of at 5-2.

I also agree with Bishop that BC day is a crap shoot. But foriegners rarely win the Distaff and the Distaff is the most form full race in my opinion. We'll see what happens.

[slimjim646]

I prefer to think Lears Princess is a horse to beat at the BC. She ran a not so hot race against Rags considering Rags came out injured. LP could only just beat a top caliber injured horse that hasn't run since June with a sustained pace sceneraio unfolding with the slowest 1/4 and pace call of the day at Belmont. I'd use LP in the 3/4 postion of a super or tri where she'll not see much action on those tickets except for the crazies that are going to box LP up.

[hogua]

[ QUOTE ]
I consider it a value bet if I get 8-1 and she goes of at 5-2.


[/ QUOTE ]

Don't forget the race is still several weeks away. Anything can happen to your pick between now and then, and, if she doesn't run in the race, you'll get 8-1 on a 0-1 shot.