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  #1  
Old 09-18-2007, 10:28 PM
Toro Toro is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: one down two to go
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Default Re: *official 2007 red sox thread*

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
nobody could have seen this AL East meltdown coming...

[/ QUOTE ]
the sox are 1-4 in their last 5 and have outscored their opponents during that stretch

someone posting on a poker message board should prob learn to stop giving a [censored] about variance

[/ QUOTE ]

This is the problem with manipulating stats to make an arguement. The one win was 10-1. The fact they outscored their opponents in that stretch is absolutely absolutley meaningless and of no indication how they are playing.
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  #2  
Old 09-18-2007, 10:30 PM
vhawk01 vhawk01 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: GHoFFANMWYD
Posts: 9,098
Default Re: *official 2007 red sox thread*

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
nobody could have seen this AL East meltdown coming...

[/ QUOTE ]
the sox are 1-4 in their last 5 and have outscored their opponents during that stretch

someone posting on a poker message board should prob learn to stop giving a [censored] about variance

[/ QUOTE ]

This is the problem with manipulating stats to make an arguement. The one win was 10-1. The fact they outscored their opponents in that stretch is absolutely absolutley meaningless and of no indication how they are playing.

[/ QUOTE ]

Except it is. One run losses are less indicative of sucking than 9 run wins are indicative of awesomeness, ya see? Scoring runs is good, and there isn't really any way to spread your runs out or score them "when it matters." So, the fact that you score more runs than your opponent is good, the fact that they didn't randomly distribute in a way that was favorable to you is...variance.
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  #3  
Old 09-18-2007, 10:31 PM
vhawk01 vhawk01 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: GHoFFANMWYD
Posts: 9,098
Default Re: *official 2007 red sox thread*

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
nobody could have seen this AL East meltdown coming...

[/ QUOTE ]
the sox are 1-4 in their last 5 and have outscored their opponents during that stretch

someone posting on a poker message board should prob learn to stop giving a [censored] about variance

[/ QUOTE ]

This is the problem with manipulating stats to make an arguement. The one win was 10-1. The fact they outscored their opponents in that stretch is absolutely absolutley meaningless and of no indication how they are playing.

[/ QUOTE ]

Except it is. One run losses are less indicative of sucking than 9 run wins are indicative of awesomeness, ya see? Scoring runs is good, and there isn't really any way to spread your runs out or score them "when it matters." So, the fact that you score more runs than your opponent is good, the fact that they didn't randomly distribute in a way that was favorable to you is...variance.

[/ QUOTE ]

In general, ldo.
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  #4  
Old 09-18-2007, 10:37 PM
Toro Toro is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: one down two to go
Posts: 6,849
Default Re: *official 2007 red sox thread*

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
nobody could have seen this AL East meltdown coming...

[/ QUOTE ]
the sox are 1-4 in their last 5 and have outscored their opponents during that stretch

someone posting on a poker message board should prob learn to stop giving a [censored] about variance

[/ QUOTE ]

This is the problem with manipulating stats to make an arguement. The one win was 10-1. The fact they outscored their opponents in that stretch is absolutely absolutley meaningless and of no indication how they are playing.

[/ QUOTE ]

Except it is. One run losses are less indicative of sucking than 9 run wins are indicative of awesomeness, ya see? Scoring runs is good, and there isn't really any way to spread your runs out or score them "when it matters." So, the fact that you score more runs than your opponent is good, the fact that they didn't randomly distribute in a way that was favorable to you is...variance.

[/ QUOTE ]

So scoring 10 runs in that one game when the yankees bullpen imploded coupled with 4 other games when the Sox struggled to score indicates awesomeness to you?

Sorry, not buying it.
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  #5  
Old 09-18-2007, 10:39 PM
vhawk01 vhawk01 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: GHoFFANMWYD
Posts: 9,098
Default Re: *official 2007 red sox thread*

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
nobody could have seen this AL East meltdown coming...

[/ QUOTE ]
the sox are 1-4 in their last 5 and have outscored their opponents during that stretch

someone posting on a poker message board should prob learn to stop giving a [censored] about variance

[/ QUOTE ]

This is the problem with manipulating stats to make an arguement. The one win was 10-1. The fact they outscored their opponents in that stretch is absolutely absolutley meaningless and of no indication how they are playing.

[/ QUOTE ]

Except it is. One run losses are less indicative of sucking than 9 run wins are indicative of awesomeness, ya see? Scoring runs is good, and there isn't really any way to spread your runs out or score them "when it matters." So, the fact that you score more runs than your opponent is good, the fact that they didn't randomly distribute in a way that was favorable to you is...variance.

[/ QUOTE ]

So scoring 10 runs in that one game when the yankees bullpen imploded coupled with 4 other games when the Sox struggled to score indicates awesomeness to you?

Sorry, not buying it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, its only a 5 game sample size, so of course it isn't incredibly strong evidence. But yes.
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  #6  
Old 09-18-2007, 10:43 PM
Toro Toro is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: one down two to go
Posts: 6,849
Default Re: *official 2007 red sox thread*

Well then I stand corrected.

Hey everybody listen up. THE SOX ARE PLAYING AWESOME RIGHT NOW!
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  #7  
Old 09-18-2007, 10:47 PM
vhawk01 vhawk01 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: GHoFFANMWYD
Posts: 9,098
Default Re: *official 2007 red sox thread*

[ QUOTE ]
Well then I stand corrected.

Hey everybody listen up. THE SOX ARE PLAYING AWESOME RIGHT NOW!

[/ QUOTE ]

The point is, its 5 games, so relax, and the run differential indicates they aren't playing .200 baseball, they are getting unlucky.
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  #8  
Old 09-18-2007, 11:42 PM
Oliver Nipples Oliver Nipples is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 486
Default Re: *official 2007 red sox thread*

[ QUOTE ]

The point is, its 5 games, so relax, and the run differential indicates they aren't playing .200 baseball, they are getting unlucky.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not the time to be getting unlucky.
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