Dude cannot fold - have nut straight, but river brings flush

[AshleyC]

Villan is playing 69/10/0.28 and obviously vacuuming all the table's chips. He limp calls raises with A2o etc and calls pot sized bets on all streets to river.


Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

BB ($85)
Hero ($150.05)
MP ($145.10)
CO ($132.75)
Button ($287.15)
SB ($146.30)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $3.5</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls $3.50, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Flop: ($8.50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $7</font>, Button calls $7.

Turn: ($22.50) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $22.5</font>, Button calls $22.50.

River: ($67.50) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $40</font>

How's the river value bet, fold to raise?

[Tito]

Flop and turn both look good. Check river to induce a bluff and call anything but a push.

[Hail Eris]

I think I overbet river against this guy. There's a straight on the board.

[SootedPower]

[ QUOTE ]
I think I overbet river against this guy. There's a straight on the board.

[/ QUOTE ]

[Tito]

There's also a flush that just came in which it looks like villian has been chasing the whole way. What happens when you overbet the river and he pushes? Does he have the flush or the K high straight or is he playing the board? I don't think this was played badly as a value bet, but I can also justify inducing the bluff. I think overbetting would be the worst move as you still are left clueless as to what he is holding if he does push. Just my thoughts.

[AshleyC]

[ QUOTE ]
Flop and turn both look good. Check river to induce a bluff and call anything but a push.

[/ QUOTE ]

He's really not aggressive and so I don't think he bluffs the river.

[Zameus]

This guy is calling with anything. There's really no indication he's specifically on a flush draw. Checking river is losing value. B/F as played is a solid line IMHO.

[Hail Eris]

[ QUOTE ]
There's also a flush that just came in which it looks like villian has been chasing the whole way. What happens when you overbet the river and he pushes? Does he have the flush or the K high straight or is he playing the board? I don't think this was played badly as a value bet, but I can also justify inducing the bluff. I think overbetting would be the worst move as you still are left clueless as to what he is holding if he does push. Just my thoughts.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think if we overbet this river and a calling station with a microscopic AF shoves on us, we can be pretty sure he's not rebluffing the board or valuetowning a King.

C/C river is terrible for the same reason.

[loosbastard]

[ QUOTE ]
This guy is calling with anything. There's really no indication he's specifically on a flush draw. Checking river is losing value. B/F as played is a solid line IMHO.

[/ QUOTE ]

[RainbowBright]

I'd bet smaller on the flop. Turn looks good. bet fold river.