200NL - How often is this a missed flush draw?

[tbaarslag]

Villain is 25/7/3, no real reads.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed)

CO ($194.90)
Button ($181.70)
SB ($222.85)
BB ($343.84)
UTG ($49.00)
Hero ($300.10)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $7</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, BB calls $5.

Flop: ($15) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $14</font>, BB calls $14.

Turn: ($43) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $32</font>, BB calls $32.

River: ($107) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $107</font>, Hero folds...

Final Pot: $214

[getsky]

It's either a missed flush draw or a rivered set.

I had the exact same situation 2 times yesterday, and it happened to be a rivered set, but i called because the pot wasn't as big.

If you check behind on the turn, it would be easier to call a PSB on the river I thinks

[otis_nixon]

Not very often.

And don't check behind the turn, you were correct to bet again

[getsky]

what is wrong with checking behind on the turn, then calling PSB on the river ??
at least you get to showdown that way

[thac]

Until a club comes..

Bet the turn for value/protection, river is usually a fold, looks like AJ or something that wants to look like a draw to get paid off.

[ttgirl]

the advice here is terrible. we have him on a draw so we give him a free turn so we can call a possible river bet if his draw misses? do you actually think?

[getsky]

[ QUOTE ]
the advice here is terrible. we have him on a draw so we give him a free turn so we can call a possible river bet if his draw misses? do you actually think?

[/ QUOTE ]

so do you advocate calling the river ??

[sixhigh]

Nice hand, well played, also betsizing and folding the river. This is a bluff less than 14% of the time.

[otis_nixon]

[ QUOTE ]
what is wrong with checking behind on the turn, then calling PSB on the river ??
at least you get to showdown that way

[/ QUOTE ]

dude it is all about value

[gimmetheloot]

Whose trolling gimmick is this guy?

I also this this looks like AXXc 2 pr