Standard Blind Steal Situations

[ProfessorBen]

To be honest, I confused myself on hand 1. I think you are correct that he will bet any draw there given the weak nature of your line.

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when i check that turn, i absolutely must call any river. that turn check opens up his range considerably. he will often fire any two cards in an effort to pick up the pot. to combat that, i'm showing down every time in that scenario.

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I think calling ANY river in a lot of spots is a major leak. he may fire any two cards on that river, but you need to think of his range when he peels the flop. Give me one hand he has that does not include a Q, J, T, 9 by this point. Kx <3s does not make up enough of his range for you to be good 1/4 times. There will be times that you are bluffed here, but not enough for you to make a +EV call.