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#1
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If we narrow villains preflop range to pps & scs here most of the time I don't think it's a nice spot to tripple barrel. I expect rnd TAG Villain to raise the flop with his draws (pair+fd or gs+fd is e.g. very likely on this flop) + sets.
The hands which usually call us on the flop are e.g. pure float attempts, or hands like JT/T9, maybe QT/T8 once in a while. The 2nd barrel is great imo, he'll fold most tens + float attempts usually. Calling AGAIN seems like a weird line for villain. Hands like JT or sets would raise us, draws should fold etc. ... Vs a TAG w/o history I'd c/f the river. The range I put him on is a) a slowplayed 22/66/JT, or b) a hand which he originally floated with and catched a J on the turn, like e.g. QJ or AJ. The only hands we fold out are tens that had us on a dblbarrel somehow and tried to get to the showdown cheaply or draws (which he both won't call on flop+river often). |
#2
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I couldn't see this guy possibly holding anything that could stand a river push. I figured just about everything that would call here would raise the turn.
I also figure once the river came, he'd check behind almost always, and showup with 1 pair, so when I combined both of these thoughts a shove was almost instinctive. If you dislike the 3rd barrel, what do you think is in villain's range that will call a pot sized bet on the river? rEvo, you say that a floated J may be a large part of his range...do you think QJ calls the river bet? My thoughts were that QJ would fold. |
#3
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Hmmm... The main reason why I dislike it is cause a really weird line from a regular rings of warning bells in my head. Cause a) he decided to be tricky with a strong hand (oh noes!) or b) he did something leaky which we should exploit. Vs an "unknown reg", like one I only have mined hands of I tend to more weakish play w/o any kind of history.
We have absolutely NO idea what's going on in his brain, e.g. if he's capable of folding a Jack here. I LOVE this line vs a usually solid, well-playing regular who knows I'm solid as well. Then I'd say he has like 80% of the time a J here which he'll fold to a push. And yes, I've seen many random-22/11-"TAG"s show up at SDs like this with like KJ or AJ (or KK (wtf?!)) ... From experience I'd say that at LEAST around 20-30% of the average NL200 regs cant fold a jack here. |
#4
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I would like it if her had more money on the river.
but I kinda like it. Kilillan theorem, a good player can`t call 3 barrels with one pair. Depends on if you think he`s good or not |
#5
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this baord ran out nicely for it imo, well played op.
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#6
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Just a question about this hand. Is this a standard 2nd barrel?
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#7
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This should work alot.
[ QUOTE ] Kilillan theorem, a good player can`t call 3 barrels with one pair. Depends on if you think he`s good or not [/ QUOTE ] Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) BB ($279.10) UTG ($286.50) Hero ($221.25) CO ($194.95) Button ($219.30) SB ($203) Preflop: Hero is MP with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $7</font>, CO calls $7, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>. Flop: ($17) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $12</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $31</font>, Hero calls $19. Turn: ($79) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $34</font>, Hero calls $34. River: ($147) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $100</font>, Hero calls $100. Final Pot: $347 Showdown: Villain shows Ts Tc. villain has Ts Tc Ks 6s 6d: two pair, tens and sixes. Hero has Kh Th Ks 6s 6d: two pair, kings and sixes. |
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