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Re: NL 25 AJ brutal turn
With an aggression factor of 1 Im not too worried about multi street bluffs. If he has a flush he will clam up on the river if you call. But is he really calling with AXs and suited connectors from EP? Not standard 16/8 behaviour. If he has this a call is best. I think he would call any raise, and probably even make a crying call to a river bet from you as people can always put you on AK.
He could have 1010. Here if you call he will bet out on the river. It sort of fits with him donking - he wants value, but is scared of QQ so doesn't feel confident to C/R. However, he will still get all his money in if you raise him and bet river, and think of it as a cooler set up. He could have some other random hand and is putting out a feeler - however, there aren't many out there - AQ float or Pair + inside str8 draws? Based on this my line is to call, and to call a small river bet, 60% or less. Anything bigger on the river and I fold. |
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