2+2=3?

JacKnight21 · #1 09-07-2007, 10:28 PM

is the prob of not flopping a set with a pocket pair 46 times in a row (6/7.5)^45? obv I m way off here.

Copernicus · #2 09-08-2007, 12:04 AM

no, its 1-(1/8.5^46) (approx)

BradleyT · #3 09-08-2007, 04:58 AM

How about the probabilty of 27 hands not flopping any matching pairs?

pzhon · #4 09-08-2007, 12:07 PM

[ QUOTE ]
no, its 1-(1/8.5^46) (approx)

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That should be (1-(1/8.5))^46 ~ e^-(46/8.5) ~ 0.4%.

That assumes that you decided to keep track at a particular time, and observed only 46 hands after that where you had a pair. If you play for a long time, it is much more likely that you will be able to find a streak at some point.