** Official September Chat Thread: The Grey Swan **

[grouchie]

[ QUOTE ]
My kings have not cracked aces once in my last 60,000 hands. If my math is right, I should expect that to happen about 2% of the time, meaning that 60K stretch will happen once every 3 million hands. Sweet.

But don't worry...at least I'm 4-for-7 with AA vs. KK in that same time period. [censored] poker.

[/ QUOTE ]

When I have kings, how often is someone else supposed to have AA?

I'm just curious because it seems like this month and the last week or so of last month, the percentage is a little higher than it should be.

[SABR42]

[ QUOTE ]
How to play QQ by Futile war

POKERSTARS GAME #11912782382: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($1/$2) - 2007/09/06 - 21:30:47 (ET)
Table 'Grus V' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: futilewar ($258 in chips)
Seat 2: xxTAHOE23xx ($71.75 in chips)
Seat 3: superbirdman ($51 in chips)
Seat 4: Mutiny ($116.25 in chips)
Seat 5: Dilith ($259.70 in chips)
Seat 6: Tnx4urMoney ($192.65 in chips)
Seat 7: Wexley ($116.70 in chips)
Seat 8: MARC 753 ($228 in chips)
Seat 9: Ghostridahii ($44 in chips)
Mutiny: posts small blind $1
Dilith: posts big blind $2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Dilith [Jc 8d]
Tnx4urMoney: folds
Wexley: calls $2
MARC 753: folds
Ghostridahii: folds
futilewar: calls $2 ----------------> i call here i have a pair oh
xxTAHOE23xx: calls $2
superbirdman: folds
Mutiny: folds
Dilith: checks
*** FLOP *** [Js 6d 3c]
Dilith: bets $6
Wexley: folds
futilewar: calls $6 -----------> okay lets trap this donkey
xxTAHOE23xx: calls $6
*** TURN *** [Js 6d 3c] [8h]-----> now im all excited he doesnt know i have an overpair he think im a lag or sometin
Dilith: bets $12
futilewar: calls $12 ---------> lets trap him
xxTAHOE23xx: calls $12
*** RIVER *** [Js 6d 3c 8h] [3d]
Dilith: checks
futilewar: checks ----------> ok i should check in case some one has a 3
xxTAHOE23xx: checks
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Dilith: shows [Jc 8d] (two pair, Jacks and Eights)
futilewar: shows [Qh Qc] (two pair, Queens and Threes) -------> ohh my god yay i didnt get suck out for once !
xxTAHOE23xx: mucks hand
futilewar collected $60 from pot ----> i outplay all these donk
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $63 | Rake $3
Board [Js 6d 3c 8h 3d]
Seat 1: futilewar showed [Qh Qc] and won ($60) with two pair, Queens and Threes
Seat 2: xxTAHOE23xx mucked [5c 6s]
Seat 3: superbirdman (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: Mutiny (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: Dilith (big blind) showed [Jc 8d] and lost with two pair, Jacks and Eights
Seat 6: Tnx4urMoney folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: Wexley folded on the Flop
Seat 8: MARC 753 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: Ghostridahii folded before Flop (didn't bet)

[/ QUOTE ]
hahahahhahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahha

A+

[bottomset]

besides pumuckel, he's the next up on the list of

how the [censored] aren't you broke yet

[Hklm8383]

[ QUOTE ]
besides pumuckel, he's the next up on the list of

how the [censored] aren't you broke yet

[/ QUOTE ]

tripccc is there too

[SABR42]

[ QUOTE ]
besides pumuckel, he's the next up on the list of

how the [censored] aren't you broke yet

[/ QUOTE ]
FPPs LDO.

[soah]

well it's pretty damn hard to play QQ properly when your overall gameplan does not involve bets or raises

[Kos13]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
My kings have not cracked aces once in my last 60,000 hands. If my math is right, I should expect that to happen about 2% of the time, meaning that 60K stretch will happen once every 3 million hands. Sweet.

But don't worry...at least I'm 4-for-7 with AA vs. KK in that same time period. [censored] poker.

[/ QUOTE ]

When I have kings, how often is someone else supposed to have AA?

I'm just curious because it seems like this month and the last week or so of last month, the percentage is a little higher than it should be.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm pretty sure it's 4% of the time. FWIW, over those 60K hands, I'm down 5 BI from my expected value of AA vs. KK and KK vs. AA. What the [censored]?

[myheadhurts]

Was playing really well earlier. Lost like $1.4k.

So I went on tilt. Played the worst I've played in a while. Won $2.1k.

Poker - great game.

[mlane]

OBV.

[RiverMustelid]

Im playing a stupid 500 man donkament and was 4th out of 100 when my girlfriend came home. I took 30 minutes sexy time and now I am 27th out of 49. Still 56 cash, so I was making money whilst in bed [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]