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  #61  
Old 09-03-2007, 04:56 PM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines

[ QUOTE ]
only reason i can think of for y'all's lines being so different than the current market, is that dantonio is focusing on a better run offense this season, and it worked in week1, to the tune of 7.8 yards per carry.

a dominant running game would lead me to have much more faith in the spartans overall, especially compared to their wild inconsistency in seasons past.

[/ QUOTE ]

true, but wasn't bowling green just as impressive winning a game on the road as a 14 point dog?

I do realized Minny scraped the spread passing attack and used a pound-it-out strategy with much success in the 2nd half v Bowling Green.
However, Bowling Green's spread passing attack victimized Minny's defense. Spread attacks dominated MSU last year and I see little reason why that will change.
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  #62  
Old 09-03-2007, 09:40 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines

Temple -2.5 1.1u to win 1 unit.
BG +17, 1u
Okla -10, 1u so far
OregSt -3, 1u so far
PSU -14, 1u
Oregon +7, 1u, another unit at 8.5
Rutgers -13, 1u.
BYU +7.5, 1u.
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  #63  
Old 09-04-2007, 12:12 AM
sanmarcosrun1 sanmarcosrun1 is offline
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Default Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines

So far first bet

Oregonst -3 1.2units

adding more later in week as lines seem to be moving in favor so far.
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  #64  
Old 09-04-2007, 11:13 AM
pokerbobo pokerbobo is offline
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Default Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines

[ QUOTE ]
I have Auburn -2.5
and Boise -2

from my power index

[/ QUOTE ]

Never bet against Boise State..... they cover spreads as often as Lindsey Lohan quits rehab... about once a week.
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  #65  
Old 09-04-2007, 02:28 PM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines

you will never ever see me bet or not bet based on how a team does covering spreads historically
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  #66  
Old 09-04-2007, 05:41 PM
sanmarcosrun1 sanmarcosrun1 is offline
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Default Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines

Added
Georgia -5 1unit
Missouri -6 1unit
Alabama -3 1.2units (bought the half a point but found it at -3.5 at most places now.)

Am waiting for more lines later in week to see if they continue to move in my favor. Oregon has gone to +8.5 now which I am assuming is the Mich crowd saying this will be their big comeback week which I just don't see happening as their D is horrible. Also noticed West Michigan has now gone to +1 so am waiting to see if that continues. Also agree with everyone else on BG but am waiting see if line continues to grow as it gets closer to weekend still at +18 from what I have found.
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  #67  
Old 09-04-2007, 05:50 PM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines

I'm a sad panda that missed the totals opening an hour ago
Michigan/Oregon up from 58 to 64.5 already!!!!!
Mizzou/Ole Miss up 3.5 points already!!!
Miami/Oklahoma and LSU/V Tech down a point

argh
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  #68  
Old 09-04-2007, 05:59 PM
pokerbobo pokerbobo is offline
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Default Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines

[ QUOTE ]
you will never ever see me bet or not bet based on how a team does covering spreads historically

[/ QUOTE ]

I only do this with Boise.... Ive bet them almost every game for the past 4 years, and they have covered huge chalk for me at a 80% or better clip. Maybe not your style, but I love this team against the number week in week out for the most part. I may lay off Boise for a week here or there, but I have yet to ever go against em.

Mark it Down... Boise wins by double digits this week, while laying only 3. This will be a laugher by Q3.
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  #69  
Old 09-04-2007, 06:12 PM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines

Miami/Oklahoma u42.5 bet 2.2u to win 2u

Purdue -29 v EIU bet 1.15u to win 1u

Illinois -18 v WIU bet 2.3u to win 2u
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  #70  
Old 09-04-2007, 06:19 PM
Dudd Dudd is offline
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Default Re: Week 2 NCAAF - project the opening lines

Boise was 6-5-1 against the spread last year according to covers.com, why would you think they have some special spread covering magic?
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