50max, river play

[kash munni]

UTG is regular, 15/7 over 1.2k hands, seemed like a predictable player

when he called flop cbet i put him on AA, KK or AK
when he called turn i was pretty sure he had AK
(now that i think about it the turn bet seems unnecessary)


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($39.05)
BB ($59.55)
UTG ($55.75)
Hero ($52.45)
Button ($12.55)

Preflop: Hero is MP with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $2.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $6</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, UTG calls $3.50.

Flop: ($12.75) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $8</font>, UTG calls $8.

Turn: ($28.75) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $12</font>, UTG calls $12.

River: ($52.75) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $26.45 (All-In)</font>

[shoxbb6]

His stats don't make sense, his pfr is bigger than his vpip?

[kash munni]

pfr=7
vpip=15
tought ppl would figure out bigger number is the vpip

[Ranma4703]

Can he fold a set? He can have AdKx, AxKx, AdAh, or KxKx. I don't like the play myself, I don't think he's weak I think he's baiting you.

[kash munni]

yes he can def fold a set

[JPeezy55]

Hmm.

Preflop: I like.

Flop: I like.

Turn: I like -- and I think the turn bet is absolutely necessary to prevent him from hanging around with hands like QQ with the Qd or Ax with the Ad.

River: I don't think he has a set. I think you'd see a lot more action out of him on the flop with AA, KK, 77, or 55, since he doesn't have a diamond and that's a scary board with no diamonds.

If he is 'predictable' as you say his he's shoving the A-d and possibly the Q-d for value, in my opinion. So there's 7 left that he can have, and you beat anything else (again, assuming no set).

So if you have a strong belief that he'll lay down a lower flush, shove. If not, check the river, as you have some showdown value against hands like A7, KQ, KJ, etc.

If it's me I'm checking, but depending on feel I could be convinced that a shove is the right play.

Do you have any history with him?

[kash munni]

If you are sure he has AK what do you do?

[Supwithbates]

I like it, but preflop is really bad, please stop min-reraising.

[kash munni]

out of position i rr to 14-16bb but in pos i 3bet lighter than most regs so i rather 3bet less i didnt realize he made it 2.50 cause i would have made it 6.5 do u think this is bad?

[kash munni]

here are the notes i have on him:
-cbet small w/ QQ on K high flop, check T, check R
-didnt 3bet QQ from bb
-donk bet 1010 on low flop, cbet Turn, check call low river
-3 bet AK from blinds (squeeze) call 4 bet push

my pf raise is 13
my vpip is 15.7
my tot aggression 3.8
-and i do 3bet light but not sure if he noticed

By the call on the flop I am sure he doesnt have QQ
On the turn im sure he either has a set or AK
By the river im almost 100% sure he has AK