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  #11  
Old 09-03-2007, 11:43 AM
good2cu good2cu is offline
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Default Re: 4-bet bluffing preflop. need some math here :)

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Against a calling-range of { 99+, AQ+ } you need over 56% FE which would mean he has to 3-bet atleast ~90 other hand combinations to make this re-steal profitable.

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Villian is not going to 4 bet fold 99-TT, AQ. He will either smooth call or 4 bet call.

I don´t really think villians calling range is that wide. It could be like AQ+ JJ+, but you would know better, since you´re the villian, right? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

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  #12  
Old 09-03-2007, 11:43 AM
kidpoooker kidpoooker is offline
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Default Re: 4-bet bluffing preflop. need some math here :)

LOL, i love this move to get lucky on a flop. Not going to make re raiser fold here imo. Iam guessing he called with like KK or something, and you got lucky.
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  #13  
Old 09-03-2007, 12:09 PM
FireStorm FireStorm is offline
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Default Re: 4-bet bluffing preflop. need some math here :)

This is a pretty good move IMO. The preflop 3 bettor can't really call with much here, so if you suspect that he is at all capable of folding JJ/QQ/AK here, solid play. As for the shortstack, it sucks a bit but he can't really call often enough to ruin the play.

As for your holding, this hand is a lot better than Ax to make this play with.
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  #14  
Old 09-03-2007, 12:17 PM
tozzy tozzy is offline
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Default Re: 4-bet bluffing preflop. need some math here :)

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This is a pretty good move IMO. The preflop 3 bettor can't really call with much here, so if you suspect that he is at all capable of folding JJ/QQ/AK here, solid play.

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this is inconsistent. assuming villain is capable of squeezing light here (good move, probably) is to assume he is never folding JJ/QQ/AK.
if you suppose hes doing so, however, his range for doing this in the very first place is probably way too tight for us to be +EV.
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