$78 (6max) River worth raising?

bballwiz · #1 09-01-2007, 09:02 PM

Villian has been playing very tight, and has limped every time in the sb to my bb, and has checked down all times.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button (t2166)
SB (t2280)
Hero (t2374)
UTG (t2180)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
2 folds, SB completes, Hero checks.

Flop: (t400) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks.

Turn: (t400) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks.

River: (t400) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets t400

What circumstances do you think you need to bet if you feel that you will be getting paid off on almost next to nothing here? If you do think a raise is worthy do you move in or say make it 600 more to 1,000 atleast leaving you some room to get away if he moves all in as you feel he would have 67 100% of the time.

bulldogs24 · #2 09-01-2007, 09:27 PM

im never folding here

ymu · #3 09-01-2007, 09:29 PM

He's checked down all the other BvBs - have you bet many of them? Any walks so far, or does he always complete? What are his usual standards for value betting the river? Is he trappy-passive? What's your table image? If you raise, will he think you could be weaker than a straight given the action so far?

If you feel you're getting paid on next to nothing, then don't raise - there's no point. If the 5 made him a straight, he's as likely to have A2 as 67 - one will pay, the other will try to bust you. Otherwise you split. If he could have something like a TPGK, overpair or 2 pair and would pay off on some of these, raising might be +EV.

There's 1200 in the pot if you call his bet, and you have 1774 behind. A minraise gives you a little room to get away, but I'd rather just call if I was going to fold to a push.

I would probably push, but I'm a low limit donk and my opponents are paying off on a lot here.

dave1mo · #4 09-01-2007, 09:30 PM

If he's constantly limping then checking down, why are you still letting him limp? Take the god damn blinds.

Pudge714 · #5 09-01-2007, 10:20 PM

I would shove preflop.
Bet the flop.
Bet the turn.
Shove the river you have the second nuts and two pair is never folding.

AMT · #6 09-02-2007, 12:07 AM

im just jamming river