Re: possibly a horrible nitty play......advice
This is a clear muck. I've won several of these things (brag) and I've noticed that they are ALL about fold equity. Yeah, they're all-in fests because of the rapidly escalating blinds, but any decent tournament hold'em player knows that showdowns are death, especially when you're all in preflop, so they should be avoided at all costs. Here you know that you have no fold equity, and given the strong nature of both the raise and the raiser, you are racing AT BEST. So putting him all in is marginal EV at best. The correct move is to fold here and just keep taking shots at the blinds, which keeps your stack healthy with minimal risk. Trust me, at least 4 people will bust in the next two orbits, so why do you need to play a pot for half your stack?
|